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Carrarese vs Modena - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio dei Marmi, Carrara
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Carrarese host Modena in the Serie B. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Recent numbers: Carrarese at 0.97 goals for, 1.1 against; Modena at 1.38 for, 1.03 against. Past meetings favor Modena slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 14, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 0.63 vs 0.94, favoring Modena. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Carrarese
20%
Draws
57%
Modena
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Modena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Modena lately — more wins on the board than Carrarese.
  • Modena are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Carrarese Clean Sheet 20%
Modena Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carrarese Modena
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.97 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Serie B
Modena vs Carrarese
2:0
Oct 1, 2025 Serie B
Carrarese vs Modena
0:0
May 4, 2025 Serie B
Carrarese vs Modena
2:1
Nov 9, 2024 Serie B
Modena vs Carrarese
2:0
Mar 12, 2022 Serie C - Group B
Carrarese vs Modena
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carrarese 28 / 100
Modena 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carrarese Modena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Modena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Modena let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Carrarese scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Carrarese went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Carrarese VS Modena
0.63 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Carrarese

(Home)
11 Oct
Padova
0 : 2
Carrarese
19 Sept
Carrarese
0 : 1
Benevento
12 Sept
Catanzaro
1 : 0
Carrarese
05 Sept
Carrarese
0 : 1
Empoli
29 Aug
Ascoli
1 : 1
Carrarese
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Modena

(Away)
11 Oct
Modena
3 : 2
Verona
20 Sept
Modena
2 : 1
Empoli
12 Sept
Sudtirol
1 : 1
Modena
06 Sept
Modena
0 : 1
Avellino
28 Aug
Cremonese
0 : 3
Modena
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 6 5 1 0 14:7 16
2 Mantova 6 4 2 0 13:6 14
3 Modena 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
4 Sudtirol 6 3 3 0 9:3 12
5 Ascoli 6 3 2 1 7:4 11
6 Avellino 6 3 1 2 11:7 10
7 Pisa 6 3 1 2 11:8 10
8 Benevento 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
9 Verona 6 2 1 3 12:10 7
10 Padova 6 2 1 3 5:8 7
11 Cesena 6 1 4 1 7:8 7
12 Arezzo 6 2 1 3 6:13 7
13 Empoli 6 2 0 4 6:10 6
14 Entella 6 1 3 2 8:7 6
15 Cremonese 6 1 3 2 5:7 6
16 Vicenza 6 1 2 3 7:13 5
17 Carrarese 6 1 1 4 4:6 4
18 Sampdoria 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
19 Catanzaro 6 1 0 5 6:12 3
20 Juve Stabia 6 1 3 2 5:8 2
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)