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Carrick Rangers vs Bangor FC

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 Loughview Leisure Arena, Carrickfergus
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Heatley P.
14'
Harrison L.
30' Event
Lynch H.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 game between Carrick Rangers and Bangor FC finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Carrick Rangers
33%
Draws
40%
Bangor FC
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Bangor FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Carrick Rangers come out ahead of Bangor FC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Bangor FC a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Carrick Rangers Clean Sheet 14%
Bangor FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carrick Rangers Bangor FC
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 13 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.88 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Bangor FC vs Carrick Rangers
0:3
Feb 28, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Carrick Rangers vs Bangor FC
1:1
Feb 3, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Carrick Rangers vs Bangor FC
3:2
Oct 31, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Bangor FC vs Carrick Rangers
0:1
Jul 23, 2024 Club Friendly
Carrick Rangers vs Bangor FC
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carrick Rangers Compare

Top Goalscorer Heatley P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Bangor FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carrick Rangers 27 / 100
Bangor FC 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carrick Rangers Bangor FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carrick Rangers's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Bangor FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Carrick Rangers remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Carrick Rangers VS Bangor FC
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Carrick Rangers

(Home)
24 Jul
Carrick Rangers
0 : 3
Ballymena
21 Jul
Queens University
3 : 5
Carrick Rangers
18 Jul
Harland & Wolff
0 : 3
Carrick Rangers
06 May
Dungannon
3 : 1
Carrick Rangers
25 Apr
Glenavon
2 : 3
Carrick Rangers
Page 1 of 6

Bangor FC

(Away)
25 Jul
Dundela
1 : 1
Bangor FC
21 Jul
Oxford Sunnyside
1 : 5
Bangor FC
18 Jul
Moyola
1 : 2
Bangor FC
16 Jul
Bangor FC
2 : 0
Ards
11 Jul
Queens University
5 : 2
Bangor FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Larne33227460:2273
2Glentoran33216663:3069
3Coleraine33205862:3165
4Linfield33188756:2462
5Cliftonville331381249:4847
6Dungannon331511740:5846
7Carrick Rangers331271449:5143
8Bangor FC331061738:5736
9Portadown331131936:5736
10Ballymena33971739:5034
11Crusaders33752138:7226
12Glenavon33812433:6325
Promotion - NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)