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Carrick Rangers vs Coleraine - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership Loughview Leisure Arena, Carrickfergus
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Carrick Rangers host Coleraine in the NIFL Premiership. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Carrick Rangers have averaged 2.14 scored and 1.41 conceded recently, against Coleraine's 2.45 scored and 1.17 conceded. Head-to-head, Carrick Rangers have won 0 to Coleraine's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 22, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.75 - 2.06) back Coleraine to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Carrick Rangers
20%
Draws
42%
Coleraine
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Coleraine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Coleraine carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Carrick Rangers taking it.
  • Regular NIFL Premiership form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Coleraine here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Carrick Rangers Clean Sheet 10%
Coleraine Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carrick Rangers Coleraine
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 22
Draws 5 3
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 2.14 2.45
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Carrick Rangers vs Coleraine
0:2
Feb 14, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Carrick Rangers vs Coleraine
1:1
Feb 7, 2026 Irish Cup
Carrick Rangers vs Coleraine
1:4
Dec 6, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Coleraine vs Carrick Rangers
3:1
Sep 27, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Coleraine vs Carrick Rangers
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carrick Rangers 47 / 100
Coleraine 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carrick Rangers Coleraine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carrick Rangers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carrick Rangers scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Carrick Rangers has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Coleraine let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Carrick Rangers VS Coleraine
2.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Carrick Rangers

(Home)
24 Oct
Carrick Rangers
1 : 1
Limavady
20 Oct
Carrick Rangers
3 : 0
Newry City
17 Oct
Carrick Rangers
2 : 2
Linfield
10 Oct
Dungannon
2 : 4
Carrick Rangers
03 Oct
Carrick Rangers
4 : 0
Crusaders
Page 1 of 6

Coleraine

(Away)
24 Oct
Crusaders
0 : 5
Coleraine
16 Oct
Larne
2 : 3
Coleraine
10 Oct
Coleraine
1 : 0
Cliftonville
04 Oct
Bangor FC
2 : 3
Coleraine
25 Sept
Coleraine
1 : 3
Linfield
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coleraine 13 11 1 1 31:12 34
2 Linfield 13 10 2 1 20:10 32
3 Larne 11 7 2 2 21:10 23
4 Glentoran 12 6 2 4 16:10 20
5 Carrick Rangers 13 5 3 5 22:20 18
6 Ballymena 11 4 3 4 17:15 15
7 Cliftonville 13 5 0 8 16:16 15
8 Crusaders 13 5 0 8 16:28 15
9 Dungannon 12 4 2 6 12:17 14
10 Limavady 13 4 2 7 13:19 14
11 Portadown 13 2 2 9 11:23 8
12 Bangor FC 13 1 3 9 11:26 6
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)