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Carrick Rangers vs Foundry

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Carrick Rangers in this Irish Cup 2014/2015 tie, finishing 4-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Carrick Rangers
15%
Draws
28%
Foundry
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Carrick Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Foundry haven't matched Carrick Rangers's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Carrick Rangers a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Carrick Rangers have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Carrick Rangers, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Carrick Rangers Clean Sheet 20%
Foundry Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carrick Rangers Foundry
Matches Played 30 20
Wins 18 10
Draws 5 0
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 2.43 2.65
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 6, 2014 Irish Cup
Carrick Rangers vs Foundry
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carrick Rangers 76 / 100
Foundry 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carrick Rangers Foundry

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carrick Rangers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carrick Rangers found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Foundry's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 20 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Carrick Rangers went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Carrick Rangers VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Carrick Rangers

(Home)
15 Aug
Limavady
1 : 2
Carrick Rangers
08 Aug
Carrick Rangers
1 : 0
Portadown
01 Aug
Ballyclare
1 : 8
Carrick Rangers
28 Jul
Carrick Rangers
1 : 0
Ards
24 Jul
Carrick Rangers
0 : 3
Ballymena
Page 1 of 6

Foundry

(Away)
28 Sept
Greenisland
2 : 0
Foundry
17 Aug
Foundry
3 : 1
Bloomfield
29 Sept
Islandmagee
2 : 1
Foundry
18 Aug
Foundry
4 : 3
Aquinas
02 Dec
Lisburn Distillery
3 : 1
Foundry
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Queens University -
TBD -
TBD -
Newington FC -
Brantwood 2
Drumaness 1
TBD -
Coagh Utd -
Lurgan Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor FC -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tandragee 2
Banbridge Rangers 0
TBD -
Loughgall -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Foundry 6
St. Marys 1
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbridge -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Newtowne FC 5
East Belfast 3
U. U. Jordanstown 0
Crumlin United 3
Shankill 2
Abbey Villa 1
TBD -
Armagh -
Ballyclare -
TBD -
TBD -
Donegal -
Bangor Old Boys 2
Rathfriland Rangers 1
TBD -
Annagh -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Dollingstown -
Wakehurst -
TBD -
Oxford Stars 2
Derriaghy 4
Moyola -
TBD -
TBD -
Glebe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sport & Leisure -
TBD -
Lisburn Rangers 2
Ards Rangers 7
Crumlin Star 2
Immaculata 0
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
Dundela -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymoney -
Newry City 4
Hanover 0
TBD -
Portstewart -
Warrenpoint -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Tobermore -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
1/32-finals
Crusaders -
TBD -
Queens University 2
Newington FC 3
Brantwood 2
Coagh Utd 0
Lurgan Celtic 1
Bangor FC 2
Institute -
TBD -
Tandragee 2
Loughgall 6
Larne 1
Dergview 0
Foundry 1
Carrick Rangers 4
Glentoran -
TBD -
Banbridge 1
Ards 4
Newtowne FC 4
Crumlin United 1
Shankill 0
Armagh 2
Ballyclare 3
Donegal 2
Bangor Old Boys 0
Annagh 3
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Harland & Wolff 2
Dollingstown 0
Wakehurst 2
Derriaghy 3
Moyola 3
Glebe 2
TBD -
Glenavon -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
Sport & Leisure 2
Ards Rangers 6
Crumlin Star 1
Lisburn Distillery 0
TBD -
Ballymena -
Portadown -
TBD -
Knockbreda 1
PSNI 2
Dundela 4
Ballymoney 1
Newry City 1
Portstewart 2
Warrenpoint -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Tobermore 3
Limavady 1
TBD -
Linfield -
1/16-finals
Crusaders 6
Newington FC 0
Brantwood 0
Bangor FC 4
Institute 5
Loughgall 1
Larne 1
Carrick Rangers 2
Glentoran 2
Ards 0
Newtowne FC 0
Armagh 3
Ballyclare 3
Annagh 1
Ballinamallard 2
Dungannon 4
Harland & Wolff 2
Derriaghy 0
Moyola 2
Glenavon 3
Cliftonville 6
Ards Rangers 0
Crumlin Star 0
Ballymena 4
Portadown 2
PSNI 1
Dundela 2
Portstewart 3
Warrenpoint 3
Coleraine 1
Tobermore 0
Linfield 2
1/8-finals
Crusaders 2
Bangor FC 0
Institute 1
Carrick Rangers 3
Glentoran 4
Armagh 1
Ballyclare 0
Dungannon 1
Harland & Wolff 2
Glenavon 0
Cliftonville 1
Ballymena 2
Portadown 2
Portstewart 0
Warrenpoint 0
Linfield 5
Quarter-finals
Crusaders 4
Carrick Rangers 1
Glentoran 3
Dungannon 0
Harland & Wolff 2
Ballymena 3
Portadown 3
Linfield 2
Semi-finals
Crusaders 0
Glentoran 1
Ballymena 1
Portadown 3
Final
Glentoran 1
Portadown 0