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Carrick Rangers vs Glentoran - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership Loughview Leisure Arena, Carrickfergus
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Carrick Rangers host Glentoran in the NIFL Premiership. This one's hard to separate. Carrick Rangers have averaged 2.18 scored and 1.43 conceded recently, against Glentoran's 1.69 scored and 1.21 conceded. Past meetings favor Glentoran slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 26, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.25 - 1.63) back Glentoran to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Carrick Rangers
20%
Draws
45%
Glentoran
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Glentoran

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Carrick Rangers have won more games recently than Glentoran.
  • Model gives Carrick Rangers a 35% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Carrick Rangers Clean Sheet 14%
Glentoran Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carrick Rangers Glentoran
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 4 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 2.18 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Glentoran vs Carrick Rangers
2:0
Mar 3, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Glentoran vs Carrick Rangers
1:0
Jan 3, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Carrick Rangers vs Glentoran
0:7
Aug 30, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Glentoran vs Carrick Rangers
1:1
Mar 15, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Carrick Rangers vs Glentoran
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carrick Rangers 57 / 100
Glentoran 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carrick Rangers Glentoran

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carrick Rangers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Carrick Rangers scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Glentoran conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Carrick Rangers remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Carrick Rangers VS Glentoran
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Carrick Rangers

(Home)
20 Oct
Carrick Rangers
3 : 0
Newry City
17 Oct
Carrick Rangers
2 : 2
Linfield
10 Oct
Dungannon
2 : 4
Carrick Rangers
03 Oct
Carrick Rangers
4 : 0
Crusaders
26 Sept
Glentoran
2 : 0
Carrick Rangers
Page 1 of 6

Glentoran

(Away)
17 Oct
Glentoran
1 : 0
Limavady
09 Oct
Portadown
0 : 0
Glentoran
03 Oct
Glentoran
2 : 0
Dungannon
26 Sept
Glentoran
2 : 0
Carrick Rangers
19 Sept
Cliftonville
1 : 2
Glentoran
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linfield 13 10 2 1 20:10 32
2 Coleraine 12 10 1 1 26:12 31
3 Glentoran 12 6 2 4 16:10 20
4 Larne 9 6 1 2 18:8 19
5 Carrick Rangers 12 5 2 5 21:19 17
6 Ballymena 11 4 3 4 17:15 15
7 Crusaders 12 5 0 7 16:23 15
8 Dungannon 11 4 2 5 11:14 14
9 Cliftonville 12 4 0 8 13:15 12
10 Limavady 11 4 0 7 11:17 12
11 Portadown 13 2 2 9 11:23 8
12 Bangor FC 12 1 3 8 10:24 6
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)