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Carrick Rangers vs Queens University

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup Loughview Leisure Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Lecky A.
34' Event
Steele A.
38' Event
Young R.

AI Match Summary

The Irish Cup game between Carrick Rangers and Queens University finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Carrick Rangers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Carrick Rangers
28%
Draws
50%
Queens University
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Queens University

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Carrick Rangers have managed 2.38 goals a game lately — Queens University are scoring more at 2.75.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Queens University taking it.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Irish Cup game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Carrick Rangers Clean Sheet 10%
Queens University Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carrick Rangers Queens University
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 7 9
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 2.38 2.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 Irish Cup
Carrick Rangers vs Queens University
5:1
Oct 1, 2024 Irish League Cup
Carrick Rangers vs Queens University
0:1
Aug 3, 2021 Club Friendly
Queens University vs Carrick Rangers
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carrick Rangers Compare

Top Goalscorer Lecky A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Steele A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Queens University Compare

Top Goalscorer Young R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carrick Rangers 22 / 100
Queens University 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carrick Rangers Queens University

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QUE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carrick Rangers found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: Queens University conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Carrick Rangers has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Carrick Rangers VS Queens University
2.38 Goals Scored 2.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
TBD-
Loughgall-
Wakehurst2
Knockbreda4
Ballinamallard-
TBD-
TBD-
Institute-
Cliftonville-
TBD-
TBD-
Dundela-
Glenavon-
TBD-
TBD-
Newington FC-
Portadown-
TBD-
TBD-
Annagh-
Dungannon-
TBD-
TBD-
Ards-
Newbuildings1
Moyola2
TBD-
Harland & Wolff-
Comber Rec3
Hanover1
Ballymacash4
Willowbank0
Strabane Athletic2
Rathfriland Rangers1
TBD-
Glentoran-
Armagh-
TBD-
Newry City1
Drumaness2
Lisburn Distillery4
Finaghy FC2
TBD-
Warrenpoint-
Ballymena-
TBD-
TBD-
Larne-
Limavady-
TBD-
Lisburn Rangers5
Dergview4
Linfield-
TBD-
TBD-
Bangor FC-
Carrick Rangers-
TBD-
TBD-
Queens University-
Coleraine-
TBD-
TBD-
Crusaders-
1/16-finals
Loughgall2
Knockbreda0
Ballinamallard0
Institute3
Cliftonville3
Dundela0
Glenavon4
Newington FC2
Portadown4
Annagh2
Dungannon3
Ards0
Moyola2
Harland & Wolff4
Comber Rec0
Ballymacash3
Strabane Athletic0
Glentoran4
Armagh1
Drumaness4
Lisburn Distillery3
Warrenpoint4
Ballymena1
Larne2
Limavady4
Lisburn Rangers1
Linfield1
Bangor FC0
Carrick Rangers5
Queens University1
Coleraine4
Crusaders0
1/8-finals
Loughgall2
Institute1
Cliftonville2
Glenavon1
Portadown1
Dungannon2
Harland & Wolff3
Ballymacash0
Glentoran5
Drumaness0
Warrenpoint0
Larne2
Limavady1
Linfield0
Carrick Rangers1
Coleraine4
Quarter-finals
Loughgall0
Cliftonville3
Dungannon3
Harland & Wolff0
Glentoran1
Larne2
Limavady0
Coleraine2
Semi-finals
Cliftonville1
Dungannon2
Larne1
Coleraine2
Final
Dungannon2
Coleraine3