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Carroi vs Atletic Escaldes

Andorra Andorra

Primera Divisió 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Piloto R.
11'
Valero D.
46'
Sub
Meireles N. In: Traore D.
Out: Meireles N.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Divisió 2025/2026 game between Carroi and Atletic Escaldes finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletic Escaldes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Carroi
20%
Draws
51%
Atletic Escaldes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletic Escaldes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atletic Escaldes come out ahead of Carroi on wins alone.
  • Model gives Atletic Escaldes a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera Divisió 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Atletic Escaldes have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Carroi Clean Sheet 10%
Atletic Escaldes Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carroi Atletic Escaldes
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 4 16
Draws 7 3
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 0.61 1.66
Goals Conceded 2.18 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Primera Divisió
Atletic Escaldes vs Carroi
3:0
Jan 31, 2026 Primera Divisió
Carroi vs Atletic Escaldes
1:4
Oct 29, 2025 Primera Divisió
Atletic Escaldes vs Carroi
3:0
Mar 10, 2024 Primera Divisió
Atletic Escaldes vs Carroi
2:1
Feb 25, 2024 Primera Divisió
Carroi vs Atletic Escaldes
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carroi Compare

Top Goalscorer Traore D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Atletic Escaldes Compare

Top Goalscorer Berlanga D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Piloto R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carroi 22 / 100
Atletic Escaldes 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carroi Atletic Escaldes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletic Escaldes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Atletic Escaldes let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Carroi scored in 39% of their last 28 outings.

Carroi has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Carroi VS Atletic Escaldes
0.71 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 1
86% Over 1.5 88%
86% Over 2.5 75%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Carroi

(Home)
19 Sept
Carroi
2 : 2
Penya
13 Sept
Inter Escaldes
3 : 0
Carroi
05 Sept
Carroi
0 : 3
FC Santa Coloma
16 May
Carroi
2 : 1
Inter Escaldes
26 Apr
Atletic Escaldes
3 : 0
Carroi
Page 1 of 6

Atletic Escaldes

(Away)
20 Sept
Casa de Portugal
0 : 3
Atletic Escaldes
12 Sept
Atletic Escaldes
4 : 1
Sporting Escaldes
09 Sept
Inter Escaldes
2 : 0
Atletic Escaldes
06 Sept
Penya
1 : 1
Atletic Escaldes
30 Jul
Atletic Escaldes
0 : 2
Vaduz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter Escaldes 24 17 3 4 47:24 54
2 UE Santa Coloma 24 14 6 4 42:16 48
3 FC Rangers 24 15 3 6 46:22 48
4 FC Santa Coloma 24 13 5 6 45:20 44
5 Atletic Escaldes 24 10 4 10 31:26 34
6 Penya 24 7 3 14 19:41 24
7 Ordino 24 6 4 14 27:42 22
8 Carroi 24 4 5 15 15:55 17
9 Esperanca 24 3 5 16 18:44 14
10 Pas de la Casa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Primera Divisió 2025/2026 (Relegation)