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Carroi vs Penya

Andorra Andorra

Primera Divisió 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
30'
55'

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera Divisió 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Carroi
30%
Draws
23%
Penya
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Carroi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Penya have won more games recently than Carroi.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Carroi Clean Sheet 18%
Penya Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carroi Penya
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 4 8
Draws 7 5
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 0.61 0.83
Goals Conceded 2.18 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Primera Divisió
Carroi vs Penya
2:2
Feb 22, 2026 Primera Divisió
Penya vs Carroi
0:0
Jan 18, 2026 Primera Divisió
Carroi vs Penya
0:0
Oct 19, 2025 Primera Divisió
Penya vs Carroi
2:1
May 12, 2024 Primera Divisió
Carroi vs Penya
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carroi 32 / 100
Penya 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carroi Penya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Penya conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Penya's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Carroi found the back of the net in 39% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

Carroi VS Penya
0.5 Goals Scored 0.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Carroi

(Home)
19 Sept
Carroi
2 : 2
Penya
13 Sept
Inter Escaldes
3 : 0
Carroi
05 Sept
Carroi
0 : 3
FC Santa Coloma
16 May
Carroi
2 : 1
Inter Escaldes
26 Apr
Atletic Escaldes
3 : 0
Carroi
Page 1 of 6

Penya

(Away)
19 Sept
Carroi
2 : 2
Penya
13 Sept
FC Santa Coloma
4 : 0
Penya
06 Sept
Penya
1 : 1
Atletic Escaldes
17 May
Atletic Escaldes
2 : 0
Penya
10 May
Penya
1 : 2
FC Rangers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter Escaldes 24 17 3 4 47:24 54
2 UE Santa Coloma 24 14 6 4 42:16 48
3 FC Rangers 24 15 3 6 46:22 48
4 FC Santa Coloma 24 13 5 6 45:20 44
5 Atletic Escaldes 24 10 4 10 31:26 34
6 Penya 24 7 3 14 19:41 24
7 Ordino 24 6 4 14 27:42 22
8 Carroi 24 4 5 15 15:55 17
9 Esperanca 24 3 5 16 18:44 14
10 Pas de la Casa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Primera Divisió 2025/2026 (Relegation)