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Carsambaspor vs Kizilcabolukspor

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 2 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Carsambaspor play Kizilcabolukspor in the 3. Lig Group 2 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Carsambaspor averaged 0.94 goals scored and 1.61 conceded. Kizilcabolukspor averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Carsambaspor won 1, Kizilcabolukspor won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 19, 2022 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Carsambaspor and 1.19 for Kizilcabolukspor. This points to a Kizilcabolukspor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Carsambaspor
35%
Draws
33%
Kizilcabolukspor
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kizilcabolukspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Carsambaspor picked up more points recently compared to Kizilcabolukspor.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Carsambaspor Clean Sheet 20%
Kizilcabolukspor Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 57%
Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carsambaspor Kizilcabolukspor
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 9 14
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 0.94 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2022 3. Lig Group 2
Carsambaspor vs Kizilcabolukspor
1:0
Oct 13, 2021 3. Lig Group 2
Kizilcabolukspor vs Carsambaspor
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carsambaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Bayraktar K. S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Kizilcabolukspor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carsambaspor 33 / 100
Kizilcabolukspor 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carsambaspor Kizilcabolukspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kizilcabolukspor or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.1%
2.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Carsambaspor attacking → ← attacking Kizilcabolukspor

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carsambaspor scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Kizilcabolukspor let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Carsambaspor went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Kizilcabolukspor lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 35
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Duzcespor36246659:3078
2Iskenderunspor36228672:3174
3Igdir FK36219664:3972
4Aksaray Bld.361851349:4359
552 Orduspor361513848:4158
6Alanya 1221361691146:3457
7Kusadasispor361381542:4847
8Sile Yildizspor361381539:4647
9Bayrampasa3610151141:3345
10Hacettepe 1945361291541:4845
1123 Elazig FK3610131340:3643
12Yomraspor3610111535:4541
13Siirt Ozel3610111538:5741
14Beyoglu Yeni Carsi369141333:3941
15Darica Genclerbirligi368141433:4638
16Kizilcabolukspor367161341:5137
17Malatya367151431:4436
18Carsambaspor368101832:5234
19Hacettepe SK367101924:4531