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Carshalton vs Bowers & Pitsea

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Saraiva F.
10' Event
Smith D.
23' Event
Smith D.

AI Match Summary

The Isthmian League Premier Division 2024/2025 game between Carshalton and Bowers & Pitsea finished 6-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Carshalton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Carshalton
20%
Draws
16%
Bowers & Pitsea
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Carshalton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Carshalton carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Carshalton a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Isthmian League Premier Division 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Carshalton have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Carshalton Clean Sheet 20%
Bowers & Pitsea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carshalton Bowers & Pitsea
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 3
Draws 6 4
Losses 12 23
Goals Scored 1.77 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.45 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Carshalton vs Bowers & Pitsea
6:1
Dec 14, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Bowers & Pitsea vs Carshalton
0:3
Jan 21, 2023 Isthmian League Premier Division
Carshalton vs Bowers & Pitsea
1:0
Nov 5, 2022 Isthmian League Premier Division
Bowers & Pitsea vs Carshalton
0:1
Jan 15, 2022 Isthmian League Premier Division
Bowers & Pitsea vs Carshalton
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carshalton Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Saraiva F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Bowers & Pitsea Compare

Top Goalscorer Price F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carshalton 36 / 100
Bowers & Pitsea 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carshalton Bowers & Pitsea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carshalton's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Bowers & Pitsea's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Difficult form: Bowers & Pitsea registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Carshalton VS Bowers & Pitsea
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Carshalton

(Home)
19 Sept
Maldon & Tiptree
2 : 3
Carshalton
15 Sept
Lewes
3 : 0
Carshalton
12 Sept
Carshalton
0 : 3
Dartford
07 Sept
Carshalton
1 : 2
Chertsey Town
05 Sept
Chertsey Town
1 : 1
Carshalton
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Bowers & Pitsea

(Away)
29 Aug
Waltham Abbey
2 : 0
Bowers & Pitsea
06 Sept
Bowers & Pitsea
0 : 3
Cambridge City
30 Aug
Bowers & Pitsea
1 : 2
Hertford Town
26 Apr
Bowers & Pitsea
0 : 1
Whitehawk
21 Apr
Hashtag
1 : 1
Bowers & Pitsea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Horsham FC 42 28 3 11 82:40 87
2 Billericay 42 26 9 7 83:42 87
3 Dartford 42 25 9 8 77:49 84
4 Cray Valley 42 23 11 8 80:56 77
5 Dover Ath. 42 23 7 12 83:48 76
6 Chichester City 42 22 7 13 72:59 73
7 Carshalton 42 20 10 12 72:54 70
8 Hashtag 42 18 10 14 82:71 64
9 Chatham 42 17 12 13 74:53 63
10 Cray Wanderers 42 18 7 17 58:52 61
11 Wingate & Finchley 42 17 9 16 76:67 60
12 Folkestone 42 17 7 18 61:66 58
13 Lewes 42 15 13 14 59:64 58
14 Potters 42 17 6 19 57:75 57
15 Cheshunt 42 14 7 21 61:69 49
16 Whitehawk 42 14 7 21 49:66 49
17 Canvey Island 42 13 5 24 48:66 44
18 Dulwich Hamlet 42 12 8 22 58:80 44
19 Hendon 42 9 12 21 61:79 39
20 Hastings 42 8 10 24 37:75 34
21 Bognor Regis 42 8 8 26 51:100 32
22 Bowers & Pitsea 42 7 5 30 34:84 26
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division 2024/2025 (Play Offs)