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Carshalton vs Merstham

World World

Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
35' Event
69' Event
Greenwood C.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Carshalton in this Club Friendly 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Carshalton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Carshalton
30%
Draws
23%
Merstham
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Carshalton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Carshalton have won more games recently than Merstham.
  • Model gives Carshalton a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Carshalton have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Carshalton Clean Sheet 20%
Merstham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carshalton Merstham
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 15 5
Draws 6 3
Losses 12 22
Goals Scored 1.79 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.52 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Merstham vs Carshalton
1:4
Jul 22, 2024 Club Friendly
Carshalton vs Merstham
2:1
Jul 22, 2023 Club Friendly
Merstham vs Carshalton
3:5
Apr 23, 2022 Isthmian League Premier Division
Merstham vs Carshalton
1:2
Dec 11, 2021 Isthmian League Premier Division
Carshalton vs Merstham
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carshalton 42 / 100
Merstham 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carshalton Merstham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carshalton's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Merstham has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Merstham lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Carshalton VS Merstham
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Carshalton

(Home)
19 Sept
Maldon & Tiptree
2 : 3
Carshalton
15 Sept
Lewes
3 : 0
Carshalton
12 Sept
Carshalton
0 : 3
Dartford
07 Sept
Carshalton
1 : 2
Chertsey Town
05 Sept
Chertsey Town
1 : 1
Carshalton
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Merstham

(Away)
29 Aug
Peacehaven & Telscombe
2 : 1
Merstham
06 Sept
Kingstonian
1 : 0
Merstham
02 Aug
Merstham
1 : 4
Carshalton
12 Jul
Bedfont Sports
0 : 0
Merstham
05 Jul
Walton & Hersham
0 : 0
Merstham
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