Sport Picks
Carshalton vs Wingate & Finchley Prediction & H2H Stats
England
Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 
Match Events
3'
3'
Young-Coombes N.
19'
19'
Akyeampong D.
46'
46'
Saraiva F.
AI Match Summary
The Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 game between Carshalton and Wingate & Finchley finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Carshalton.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
20%
44%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Wingate & Finchley
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
44%
/ Low Confidence
- Carshalton carry the better recent record into this one.
- 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Carshalton Clean Sheet 11%
Wingate & Finchley Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Carshalton | Wingate & Finchley |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.71 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.46 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 10, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Carshalton vs Wingate & Finchley
2:0
Mar 21, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Carshalton vs Wingate & Finchley
4:1
Dec 6, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Wingate & Finchley vs Carshalton
2:2
Sep 2, 2025 FA Cup
Wingate & Finchley vs Carshalton
3:2
Aug 30, 2025 FA Cup
Carshalton vs Wingate & Finchley
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Carshalton Compare
Top Goalscorer Young-Coombes N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Akyeampong D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Wingate & Finchley Compare
Top Goalscorer Akinola R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Carshalton 30 / 100
Wingate & Finchley 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Carshalton Wingate & Finchley
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Wingate & Finchley Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Carshalton found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Wingate & Finchley has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Carshalton has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Carshalton VS Wingate & Finchley
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Carshalton
(Home) 03 Oct
Ramsgate
2 : 3 Carshalton
27 Sept
Southall FC
2 : 3 Carshalton
19 Sept
Maldon & Tiptree
2 : 3 Carshalton
15 Sept
Lewes
3 : 0 Carshalton
12 Sept
Carshalton
0 : 3 Dartford
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Carshalton
0 : 3 Dartford
07 Sept
Carshalton
1 : 2 Chertsey Town
29 Aug
Carshalton
2 : 0 Brentwood
15 Aug
Carshalton
2 : 1 Cray Wanderers
10 Aug
Carshalton
2 : 0 Wingate & Finchley
Page 1 of 3
Wingate & Finchley
(Away) 03 Oct
Bedford
2 : 2 Wingate & Finchley
26 Sept
Real Bedford
0 : 3 Wingate & Finchley
22 Sept
Wingate & Finchley
2 : 1 Hemel Hempstead
19 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1 Wingate & Finchley
14 Sept
Aveley
3 : 4 Wingate & Finchley
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Bedford
2 : 2 Wingate & Finchley
26 Sept
Real Bedford
0 : 3 Wingate & Finchley
19 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1 Wingate & Finchley
14 Sept
Aveley
3 : 4 Wingate & Finchley
12 Sept
Welling
4 : 1 Wingate & Finchley
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Folkestone | 42 | 29 | 9 | 4 | 102:40 | 96 |
| 2 | Aveley | 42 | 24 | 12 | 6 | 90:51 | 84 |
| 3 | Billericay | 42 | 24 | 10 | 8 | 81:48 | 82 |
| 4 | Chatham | 42 | 24 | 7 | 11 | 83:35 | 79 |
| 5 | Brentwood | 42 | 24 | 6 | 12 | 84:66 | 78 |
| 6 | Dartford | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 81:55 | 72 |
| 7 | Cray Wanderers | 42 | 17 | 16 | 9 | 79:71 | 67 |
| 8 | Burgess Hill | 42 | 20 | 7 | 15 | 76:81 | 67 |
| 9 | Dulwich Hamlet | 42 | 17 | 11 | 14 | 61:53 | 62 |
| 10 | Ramsgate | 42 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 73:68 | 57 |
| 11 | St. Albans | 42 | 16 | 8 | 18 | 71:59 | 56 |
| 12 | Chichester City | 42 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 57:63 | 55 |
| 13 | Cheshunt | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 65:70 | 50 |
| 14 | Whitehawk | 42 | 12 | 13 | 17 | 58:72 | 49 |
| 15 | Welling | 42 | 15 | 3 | 24 | 54:75 | 48 |
| 16 | Wingate & Finchley | 42 | 12 | 10 | 20 | 55:67 | 46 |
| 17 | Lewes | 42 | 13 | 7 | 22 | 47:83 | 46 |
| 18 | Carshalton | 42 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 61:73 | 44 |
| 19 | Cray Valley | 42 | 11 | 9 | 22 | 54:80 | 42 |
| 20 | Hashtag | 42 | 11 | 9 | 22 | 60:87 | 42 |
| 21 | Potters | 42 | 9 | 3 | 30 | 46:94 | 30 |
| 22 | Canvey Island | 42 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 40:87 | 27 |
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
