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Cartagena FC UCAM vs Lorca FC

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 13 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cartagena FC UCAM in this Tercera Division - Group 13 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cartagena FC UCAM.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Cartagena FC UCAM
33%
Draws
27%
Lorca FC
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Cartagena FC UCAM

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cartagena FC UCAM lately — more wins on the board than Lorca FC.
  • Cartagena FC UCAM are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 13 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Cartagena FC UCAM Clean Sheet 68%
Lorca FC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cartagena FC UCAM Lorca FC
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 1
Draws 8 4
Losses 13 25
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 2 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Cartagena FC UCAM vs Lorca FC
2:0
Dec 13, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca FC vs Cartagena FC UCAM
0:5
Feb 23, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Cartagena FC UCAM vs Lorca FC
0:0
Oct 6, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca FC vs Cartagena FC UCAM
2:1
Apr 29, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Cartagena FC UCAM vs Lorca FC
0:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cartagena FC UCAM 50 / 100
Lorca FC 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cartagena FC UCAM Lorca FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lorca FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Lorca FC lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Cartagena FC UCAM found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Cartagena FC UCAM VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Murcia B20135236:1444
2Aguilas FC20135243:844
3CA Pulpileno20127130:1143
4UD Los Garres2076722:2127
5Bullense2076723:2527
6UCAM Murcia B2068628:2326
7Club Olimpico de Totana2065917:2323
8E.G. El Palmar2057826:2822
9Minerva20621224:3620
10EDMF Churra20441217:3616
11Plus Ultra20231511:529
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC20134327:1243
2FC Cartagena SAD B20117238:1040
3Racing Murcia20107325:937
4La Union (Malacitano)20106433:1936
5Cartagena FC UCAM2095630:2732
6Mazarron CF2075821:1926
7Deportiva Minera2059618:2024
8Huercal-Overa CF20641017:2722
9Ciudad de Murcia2056913:1821
10Muleno CF20441218:3116
11Lorca FC2011189:574