Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cartagena La Union vs Ciudad Lorca

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 13 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cartagena La Union in this Tercera Division - Group 13 2008/2009 matchup, with the score ending 7-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cartagena La Union.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Cartagena La Union
6%
Draws
4%
Ciudad Lorca
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cartagena La Union

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cartagena La Union lately — more wins on the board than Ciudad Lorca.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Cartagena La Union taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 13 2008/2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Cartagena La Union have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Cartagena La Union Clean Sheet 20%
Ciudad Lorca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cartagena La Union Ciudad Lorca
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 23 2
Draws 5 1
Losses 4 27
Goals Scored 2.38 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Cartagena La Union vs Ciudad Lorca
7:0
Nov 9, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad Lorca vs Cartagena La Union
1:3
May 3, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad Lorca vs Cartagena La Union
1:4
Dec 16, 2007 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Cartagena La Union vs Ciudad Lorca
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cartagena La Union 85 / 100
Ciudad Lorca 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cartagena La Union Ciudad Lorca

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cartagena La Union scored in 94% of their last 32 games.

Ciudad Lorca let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.25 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Ciudad Lorca has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cartagena La Union VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Caravaca382765115:2687
2Moratalla38258582:3283
3Cartagena La Union382311476:2780
4Yeclano38248683:3780
5Pinatar38219877:3772
6Mazarron CF381910981:4667
7Ciudad Cieza381614877:4562
8Futbol Club Jumilla381614863:3562
9Beniel3815111239:3256
10Santomera3813101551:6649
11CA Pulpileno381371850:6746
12Deportivo Murcia381291759:5645
13Lorca Deportiva II389151449:5442
14Bala Azul381242252:8640
15Plus Ultra3810101843:6440
16Calasparra FC389131643:6040
17CD Lumbreras38862441:9030
18Pozo Estrecho38862440:8830
19Muleno CF384112333:8523
20Ciudad Lorca38423232:1539