Sport Picks
Cartagena vs Independiente Valle del Cauca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Colombia
Primera B Estadio Jaime Morón León, Cartagena 
Match Events
29'
29'
Sub
Tegue G. In: Lora R.
Out: Tegue G.
32'
32'
De Arco H.
37'
37'
De Arco H.
AI Match Summary
Independiente Valle del Cauca in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Independiente Valle del Cauca.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
15%
35%
50%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Independiente Valle del Cauca
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Cartagena average 1.5 goals a game right now, well clear of Independiente Valle del Cauca's 1.03.
- Model gives Independiente Valle del Cauca a 50% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Cartagena Clean Sheet 19%
Independiente Valle del Cauca Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cartagena | Independiente Valle del Cauca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 12 | 10 |
| Losses | 9 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 7, 2026 Primera B
Cartagena vs Independiente Valle del Cauca
0:2
Feb 4, 2026 Primera B
Independiente Valle del Cauca vs Cartagena
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cartagena Compare
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Independiente Valle del Cauca Compare
Top Goalscorer De Arco H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Pena F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cartagena 28 / 100
Independiente Valle del Cauca 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cartagena Independiente Valle del Cauca
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Independiente Valle del Cauca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cartagena found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).
Independiente Valle del Cauca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Cartagena has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Cartagena VS Independiente Valle del Cauca
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Cartagena
(Home) 08 Oct
Atletico F.C.
2 : 2 Cartagena
04 Oct
Cartagena
2 : 3 Boca Juniors de Cali
29 Sept
Union Magdalena
1 : 1 Cartagena
22 Sept
Cartagena
0 : 0 Envigado
12 Sept
Inter Palmira
2 : 1 Cartagena
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Cartagena
2 : 3 Boca Juniors de Cali
22 Sept
Cartagena
0 : 0 Envigado
29 Aug
Cartagena
0 : 3 Tigres Futbol Club
20 Aug
Cartagena
2 : 0 Bogota
07 Aug
Cartagena
0 : 2 Independiente Valle del Cauca
Page 1 of 4
Independiente Valle del Cauca
(Away) 08 Oct
Independiente Valle del Cauca
1 : 1 Tigres Futbol Club
03 Oct
Patriotas
0 : 1 Independiente Valle del Cauca
28 Sept
Independiente Valle del Cauca
4 : 3 Orsomarso
22 Sept
Independiente Valle del Cauca
0 : 1 Inter Palmira
15 Sept
Barranquilla
0 : 2 Independiente Valle del Cauca
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Patriotas
0 : 1 Independiente Valle del Cauca
15 Sept
Barranquilla
0 : 2 Independiente Valle del Cauca
04 Sept
Bogota
0 : 2 Independiente Valle del Cauca
24 Aug
Real Santander
1 : 0 Independiente Valle del Cauca
07 Aug
Cartagena
0 : 2 Independiente Valle del Cauca
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Valle del Cauca | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 16:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Real Cundinamarca | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:11 | 23 |
| 3 | Tigres Futbol Club | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 14:5 | 22 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors de Cali | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18:14 | 18 |
| 5 | Patriotas | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:17 | 17 |
| 6 | Cartagena | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 21:16 | 16 |
| 7 | Quindio | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9:8 | 16 |
| 8 | Atletico F.C. | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 9 | Real Santander | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14:18 | 15 |
| 10 | Inter Palmira | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 8:12 | 14 |
| 11 | Envigado | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 12 | Union Magdalena | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:12 | 12 |
| 13 | Bogota | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9:13 | 12 |
| 14 | Orsomarso | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7:11 | 10 |
| 15 | Leones | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8:17 | 10 |
| 16 | Barranquilla | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:17 | 9 |
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)
