Sport Picks
Cartagena vs Real Santander - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Colombia
Primera B Estadio Jaime Morón León, Cartagena 
Match Events
11'
11'
Melendez A.
16'
16'
Graciano C.
26'
26'
Rodriguez P.
AI Match Summary
The Primera B game between Cartagena and Real Santander finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cartagena.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Cartagena come out ahead of Real Santander on wins alone.
- Cartagena are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Cartagena Clean Sheet 68%
Real Santander Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cartagena | Real Santander |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 3 |
| Draws | 10 | 10 |
| Losses | 9 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 0.82 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.82 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 26, 2026 Primera B
Cartagena vs Real Santander
5:1
Jan 23, 2026 Primera B
Real Santander vs Cartagena
0:1
Aug 15, 2025 Primera B
Real Santander vs Cartagena
2:0
Mar 9, 2025 Primera B
Cartagena vs Real Santander
2:0
Sep 27, 2024 Primera B
Real Santander vs Cartagena
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cartagena Compare
Top Goalscorer Gallego J. P.
2 Goals Assists Leader Melendez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Real Santander Compare
Top Goalscorer Diaz M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cartagena 50 / 100
Real Santander 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cartagena Real Santander
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cartagena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Real Santander has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.
Attacking prowess: Cartagena scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Cartagena has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Cartagena VS Real Santander
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Cartagena
(Home) 08 Oct
Atletico F.C.
2 : 2 Cartagena
04 Oct
Cartagena
2 : 3 Boca Juniors de Cali
29 Sept
Union Magdalena
1 : 1 Cartagena
22 Sept
Cartagena
0 : 0 Envigado
12 Sept
Inter Palmira
2 : 1 Cartagena
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Cartagena
2 : 3 Boca Juniors de Cali
22 Sept
Cartagena
0 : 0 Envigado
29 Aug
Cartagena
0 : 3 Tigres Futbol Club
20 Aug
Cartagena
2 : 0 Bogota
07 Aug
Cartagena
0 : 2 Independiente Valle del Cauca
Page 1 of 3
Real Santander
(Away) 03 Oct
Real Santander
1 : 3 Union Magdalena
26 Sept
Tigres Futbol Club
1 : 1 Real Santander
22 Sept
Real Santander
0 : 0 Orsomarso
13 Sept
Boca Juniors de Cali
2 : 0 Real Santander
05 Sept
Quindio
0 : 0 Real Santander
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Tigres Futbol Club
1 : 1 Real Santander
13 Sept
Boca Juniors de Cali
2 : 0 Real Santander
05 Sept
Quindio
0 : 0 Real Santander
06 Aug
Atletico F.C.
2 : 2 Real Santander
26 Jul
Cartagena
5 : 1 Real Santander
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Valle del Cauca | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 16:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Real Cundinamarca | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 19:10 | 23 |
| 3 | Tigres Futbol Club | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 14:5 | 22 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors de Cali | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18:14 | 18 |
| 5 | Patriotas | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:17 | 17 |
| 6 | Cartagena | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 21:16 | 16 |
| 7 | Quindio | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9:8 | 16 |
| 8 | Atletico F.C. | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 9 | Inter Palmira | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 8:12 | 14 |
| 10 | Envigado | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 11 | Union Magdalena | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:12 | 12 |
| 12 | Bogota | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9:13 | 12 |
| 13 | Real Santander | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 13:18 | 12 |
| 14 | Orsomarso | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7:11 | 10 |
| 15 | Leones | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8:17 | 10 |
| 16 | Barranquilla | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:17 | 9 |
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)
