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Cartagines vs Herediano

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division 2025/2026 Estadio José Rafael Fello Meza, Cartago
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Hernandez M.
38'
Lopez D.
45'
Rubio E.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Herediano advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Cartagines
20%
Draws
38%
Herediano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cartagines

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Herediano come out ahead of Cartagines on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Cartagines taking it.
  • Herediano arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Herediano, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Herediano have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Cartagines Clean Sheet 19%
Herediano Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cartagines Herediano
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 19
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Primera Division
Herediano vs Cartagines
0:0
May 3, 2026 Primera Division
Cartagines vs Herediano
0:1
Apr 11, 2026 Primera Division
Cartagines vs Herediano
1:2
Feb 15, 2026 Primera Division
Herediano vs Cartagines
1:0
Oct 26, 2025 Primera Division
Herediano vs Cartagines
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cartagines Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Herediano Compare

Top Goalscorer Aguilar E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cartagines 42 / 100
Herediano 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cartagines Herediano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cartagines found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Cartagines has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Herediano let in goals in 45% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Cartagines VS Herediano
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cartagines

(Home)
10 May
Herediano
0 : 0
Cartagines
03 May
Cartagines
0 : 1
Herediano
26 Apr
Guadalupe
0 : 5
Cartagines
22 Apr
Cartagines
2 : 1
San Carlos
18 Apr
Liberia
1 : 0
Cartagines
Page 1 of 6

Herediano

(Away)
12 Jul
Alajuelense
0 : 1
Herediano
17 May
Herediano
2 : 0
Saprissa
14 May
Saprissa
2 : 1
Herediano
10 May
Herediano
0 : 0
Cartagines
03 May
Cartagines
0 : 1
Herediano
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Herediano1
Cartagines0
Saprissa3
Liberia1
Final
Herediano3
Saprissa2