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Cartagines vs Puntarenas FC

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division 2025/2026 Estadio José Rafael Fello Meza, Cartago
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Gaete J.
21'
Cole R.
29'
Sub
Alfaro L. In: Castro G.
Out: Alfaro L.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2025/2026 game between Cartagines and Puntarenas FC finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cartagines.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Cartagines
6%
Draws
4%
Puntarenas FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cartagines

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Cartagines carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Cartagines are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Cartagines Clean Sheet 68%
Puntarenas FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cartagines Puntarenas FC
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 13 6
Draws 6 9
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Primera Division
Cartagines vs Puntarenas FC
3:2
Jan 18, 2026 Primera Division
Puntarenas FC vs Cartagines
0:2
Oct 18, 2025 Primera Division
Puntarenas FC vs Cartagines
1:1
Aug 31, 2025 Primera Division
Cartagines vs Puntarenas FC
0:0
Mar 30, 2025 Primera Division
Cartagines vs Puntarenas FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cartagines Compare

Top Goalscorer Gaete J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Puntarenas FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cartagines 95 / 100
Puntarenas FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cartagines Puntarenas FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cartagines's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Puntarenas FC has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Cartagines went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cartagines VS Puntarenas FC
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cartagines

(Home)
10 May
Herediano
0 : 0
Cartagines
03 May
Cartagines
0 : 1
Herediano
26 Apr
Guadalupe
0 : 5
Cartagines
22 Apr
Cartagines
2 : 1
San Carlos
18 Apr
Liberia
1 : 0
Cartagines
Page 1 of 7

Puntarenas FC

(Away)
26 Apr
Puntarenas FC
1 : 3
Saprissa
24 Apr
Alajuelense
5 : 2
Puntarenas FC
19 Apr
Puntarenas FC
1 : 2
Sporting FC
12 Apr
Zeledon
3 : 3
Puntarenas FC
05 Apr
Puntarenas FC
0 : 1
Herediano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Herediano18122426:1038
2Saprissa18104434:1934
3Liberia18103524:1833
4Cartagines18102626:2032
5Alajuelense1875628:2026
6Sporting FC1864816:2122
7San Carlos1863921:2521
8Puntarenas FC18441022:2916
9Zeledon1828819:3014
10Guadalupe18351013:3714
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)