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Cartagines vs San Carlos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division Estadio José Rafael Fello Meza, Cartago
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cartagines host San Carlos in the Primera Division. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Cartagines at 1.74 goals for, 1.06 against; San Carlos at 1.14 for, 1.24 against. Head-to-head, Cartagines have won 3 to San Carlos's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 21, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.25) point toward Cartagines. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Cartagines
15%
Draws
45%
San Carlos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Carlos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cartagines lately — more wins on the board than San Carlos.
  • Cartagines are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Primera Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Cartagines Clean Sheet 19%
San Carlos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cartagines San Carlos
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 17 12
Draws 6 4
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.74 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2026 Primera Division
San Carlos vs Cartagines
1:0
Apr 22, 2026 Primera Division
Cartagines vs San Carlos
2:1
Mar 2, 2026 Primera Division
San Carlos vs Cartagines
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 Primera Division
Cartagines vs San Carlos
2:1
Sep 14, 2025 Primera Division
San Carlos vs Cartagines
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cartagines 36 / 100
San Carlos 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cartagines San Carlos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cartagines's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Cartagines went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

San Carlos let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Cartagines VS San Carlos
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cartagines

(Home)
22 Oct
Cartagines
1 : 0
Olimpia
18 Oct
Cartagines
1 : 0
Saprissa
14 Oct
Cartagines
3 : 1
Puntarenas FC
10 Oct
Sporting FC
3 : 1
Cartagines
21 Sept
San Carlos
1 : 0
Cartagines
Page 1 of 7

San Carlos

(Away)
20 Oct
Sporting FC
3 : 3
San Carlos
14 Oct
San Carlos
1 : 2
Inter San Carlos
11 Oct
Herediano
0 : 1
San Carlos
21 Sept
San Carlos
1 : 0
Cartagines
12 Sept
Zeledon
0 : 2
San Carlos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saprissa 12 8 0 4 26:12 24
2 Cartagines 12 8 0 4 23:14 24
3 Sporting FC 12 6 3 3 22:18 21
4 Alajuelense 12 5 4 3 20:14 19
5 San Carlos 12 6 1 5 13:14 19
6 Inter San Carlos 12 5 3 4 14:17 18
7 Puntarenas FC 12 4 3 5 12:18 15
8 Herediano 12 3 2 7 12:16 11
9 Escorpiones 12 3 1 8 12:18 10
10 Zeledon 12 2 3 7 9:22 9
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)