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Cartagines vs Verdes

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Central American Cup Estadio José Rafael Fello Meza, Cartago
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Match Events

8' Event
Mesen D.
Assist: Gonzalez J.
16'
Moran I.
42' Event
Hernandez A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. The second leg ended 4-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Cartagines
15%
Draws
0%
Verdes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cartagines

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cartagines come out ahead of Verdes on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Cartagines's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Cartagines have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Cartagines, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Cartagines Clean Sheet 20%
Verdes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cartagines Verdes
Matches Played 30 25
Wins 12 1
Draws 6 3
Losses 12 21
Goals Scored 1.5 0.52
Goals Conceded 1.23 3.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 CONCACAF Central American Cup
Cartagines vs Verdes
4:0
Aug 21, 2025 CONCACAF Central American Cup
Cartagines vs Verdes
8:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cartagines Compare

Top Goalscorer Castro G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mesen D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Verdes Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cartagines 85 / 100
Verdes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cartagines Verdes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cartagines Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Verdes let in goals in 92% of their last 24 matches.

Games between these two average 6.50 goals.

Away concern: Verdes has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Cartagines's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Cartagines VS Verdes
1.5 Goals Scored 0.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 3.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Cartagines

(Home)
19 Aug
Cartagines
4 : 0
Verdes
16 Aug
Saprissa
3 : 2
Cartagines
13 Aug
Motagua
1 : 1
Cartagines
08 Aug
Cartagines
2 : 1
Sporting FC
04 Aug
Zeledon
1 : 0
Cartagines
Page 1 of 6

Verdes

(Away)
19 Aug
Cartagines
4 : 0
Verdes
13 Aug
FAS
4 : 1
Verdes
07 Aug
Verdes
0 : 1
Municipal
29 Jul
Verdes
0 : 5
Motagua
21 Aug
Cartagines
8 : 1
Verdes
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luis Angel Firpo 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
2 Plaza Amador 3 2 0 1 9:7 6
3 Alajuelense 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
4 Xelaju 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
5 Diriangen 4 1 0 3 5:11 3
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza FC 4 3 0 1 5:4 9
2 Esteli 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Marathon 3 1 1 1 3:1 4
4 Herediano 3 1 1 1 2:1 4
5 Antigua 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saprissa 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
2 Olimpia 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
3 Deportivo Mixco 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
4 Alianza 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
5 UMECIT 4 0 0 4 3:9 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Motagua 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
2 Cartagines 3 1 2 0 6:2 5
3 Municipal 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
4 FAS 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
5 Verdes 4 0 0 4 1:14 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)