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Cartusia Kartuzy vs Vineta Wolin

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cartusia Kartuzy play Vineta Wolin in the III Liga - Group II 2024/2025. Cartusia Kartuzy are favorites here. Recently, Cartusia Kartuzy averaged 1.16 goals scored and 1.51 conceded. Vineta Wolin averaged 1.37 goals scored and 3.07 conceded. In past meetings, Cartusia Kartuzy won 2, Vineta Wolin won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 8, 2025 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Cartusia Kartuzy and 1.69 for Vineta Wolin. This points to a Cartusia Kartuzy double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Cartusia Kartuzy
17%
Draws
24%
Vineta Wolin
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Cartusia Kartuzy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Cartusia Kartuzy picked up more points recently compared to Vineta Wolin.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Cartusia Kartuzy Clean Sheet 13%
Vineta Wolin Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cartusia Kartuzy Vineta Wolin
Matches Played 37 27
Wins 12 3
Draws 6 4
Losses 19 20
Goals Scored 1.16 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.51 3.07

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Cartusia Kartuzy vs Vineta Wolin
4:0
Aug 17, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Vineta Wolin vs Cartusia Kartuzy
1:3
Apr 6, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Vineta Wolin vs Cartusia Kartuzy
1:0
Sep 9, 2023 III Liga - Group II
Cartusia Kartuzy vs Vineta Wolin
1:2
Mar 18, 2023 III Liga - Group II
Cartusia Kartuzy vs Vineta Wolin
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cartusia Kartuzy Compare

Top Goalscorer Soboczynski P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Skrzecz O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Vineta Wolin Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cartusia Kartuzy 56 / 100
Vineta Wolin 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cartusia Kartuzy Vineta Wolin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cartusia Kartuzy Win (1)
Secondary Pick Cartusia Kartuzy & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.6%
1.96
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cartusia Kartuzy attacking → ← attacking Vineta Wolin

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cartusia Kartuzy scored in 59% of their last 37 games.

Vineta Wolin let in goals in 96% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Cartusia Kartuzy went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Vineta Wolin lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 13
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Kleczew34226660:3572
2Blekitni Stargard34196978:4563
3Zawisza34178965:4159
4Pogon Szczecin II341513672:4558
5Lech Poznan II34169965:4757
6Unia Swarzedz341510958:4755
7Polonia Sroda Wielkopol341491167:5851
8Nowe Skalmierzyce341461447:4748
9Elana Torun341114944:4247
10Wda Swiecie3412101247:4146
11Notec Czarnkow341361561:6445
12Swinoujscie341281448:5644
13Cartusia Kartuzy341271543:5143
14Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal341071732:5437
15Kotwica Kornik348121449:6036
16Gedania Gdansk341042043:8034
17Gryf Slupsk346121638:5530
18Vineta Wolin34452548:9717