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Casa de Portugal vs Cheng Fung

Macao Macao

Elite League 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Pierre J.
37' Event
Pierre J.
69' Event
Pearson C.

AI Match Summary

Casa de Portugal in this Elite League 2021 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Casa de Portugal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Casa de Portugal
6%
Draws
90%
Cheng Fung
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cheng Fung

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Casa de Portugal haven't matched Cheng Fung's recent run of results.
  • Cheng Fung are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Cheng Fung here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Casa de Portugal Clean Sheet 19%
Cheng Fung Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Casa de Portugal Cheng Fung
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 3 11
Draws 3 8
Losses 24 14
Goals Scored 0 1.38
Goals Conceded 0 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2022 Elite League
Cheng Fung vs Casa de Portugal
4:0
Feb 18, 2022 Elite League
Casa de Portugal vs Cheng Fung
1:6
Nov 12, 2021 Elite League
Casa de Portugal vs Cheng Fung
5:1
Jun 6, 2021 Elite League
Cheng Fung vs Casa de Portugal
4:2
Nov 20, 2020 Elite League
Cheng Fung vs Casa de Portugal
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Casa de Portugal Compare

Top Goalscorer Pierre J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pearson C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Cheng Fung Compare

Top Goalscorer Si H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Casa de Portugal 10 / 100
Cheng Fung 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Casa de Portugal Cheng Fung

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cheng Fung has conceded goals in 82% of their last 33 outings.

H2H data points to 5.60 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Cheng Fung registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Casa de Portugal scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cheng Fung
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Must IPO181800115:454
2Benfica18150391:1545
3Tak Chun Ka I18112529:3035
4Cheng Fung18100840:4430
5Lun Lok1863926:5521
6Sporting Macau18621033:4520
7Policia1845917:3317
8Casa de Portugal18441022:6816
9Monte Carlo18261014:4612
10Hang Sai18221412:598