Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Casa de Portugal vs Sporting Macau

Macao Macao

Elite League 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
de Boeck B. J. J.
56' Event
Moreno Monteiro M. J.
71' Event
Pinho S.

AI Match Summary

Casa de Portugal host Sporting Macau in the Elite League 2022. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Sporting Macau have shipped 4.88 goals a game lately, while Casa de Portugal have conceded 0 and scored 0. Past meetings favor Casa de Portugal slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 29, 2022, ending 1:2. xG projections (3.04 - 0.93) back Sporting Macau to edge this. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Casa de Portugal
20%
Draws
38%
Sporting Macau
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Casa de Portugal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Sporting Macau has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Casa de Portugal.
  • Model forecasts a 42% win probability edge for Casa de Portugal.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Elite League 2022 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Casa de Portugal Clean Sheet 20%
Sporting Macau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Casa de Portugal Sporting Macau
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 3 6
Draws 3 7
Losses 24 26
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 4.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2022 Elite League
Casa de Portugal vs Sporting Macau
1:2
Feb 27, 2022 Elite League
Sporting Macau vs Casa de Portugal
0:0
Jun 25, 2021 Elite League
Sporting Macau vs Casa de Portugal
1:2
Mar 27, 2021 Elite League
Casa de Portugal vs Sporting Macau
2:1
Sep 20, 2020 Elite League
Casa de Portugal vs Sporting Macau
1:8

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Casa de Portugal Compare

Top Goalscorer Pinho S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sporting Macau Compare

Top Goalscorer de Boeck B. J. J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moreno Monteiro M. J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Casa de Portugal 42 / 100
Sporting Macau 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Casa de Portugal Sporting Macau

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Casa de Portugal scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Sporting Macau let in goals in 95% of their last 39 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Casa de Portugal went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Sporting Macau lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sporting Macau
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 4.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Must IPO16160095:448
2Monte Carlo16130383:1539
3Benfica16112354:1335
4Cheng Fung1681740:2525
5Tak Chun Ka I1653825:4818
6Lun Lok1653819:4518
7CFB Macau1635813:6314
8Sporting Macau1615109:458
9Casa de Portugal1601156:861
10Policia00000:00