Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Casa vs Diambars de Saly

Senegal Senegal

Ligue 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Bodain L.

AI Match Summary

Casa in this Ligue 1 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Casa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Casa
15%
Draws
39%
Diambars de Saly
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Casa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Casa have won more games recently than Diambars de Saly.
  • Model gives Casa a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Casa Clean Sheet 68%
Diambars de Saly Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Casa Diambars de Saly
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 19 9
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 0.97 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2024 Ligue 1
Casa vs Diambars de Saly
1:0
Nov 19, 2023 Ligue 1
Diambars de Saly vs Casa
3:0
Apr 8, 2023 Ligue 1
Casa vs Diambars de Saly
0:1
Nov 5, 2022 Ligue 1
Diambars de Saly vs Casa
3:1
May 15, 2022 Ligue 1
Casa vs Diambars de Saly
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Casa Compare

Top Goalscorer Bodain L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Diambars de Saly Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Casa 95 / 100
Diambars de Saly 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Casa Diambars de Saly

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Casa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Diambars de Saly's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Casa found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (34 games).

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Casa remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Casa VS Diambars de Saly
0.75 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Casa

(Home)
04 Jun
Casa
1 : 2
Dakar Sacre-Coeur
22 May
ASC Jaraaf
0 : 0
Casa
17 May
Casa
1 : 0
Pikine
13 May
Sonacos
0 : 3
Casa
10 May
Casa
1 : 2
Generation Foot
Page 1 of 7

Diambars de Saly

(Away)
12 Sept
Diambars de Saly
1 : 0
Zarzis
04 Sept
Zarzis
3 : 1
Diambars de Saly
08 Jun
Diambars de Saly
0 : 2
Generation Foot
26 May
Dakar Sacre-Coeur
7 : 2
Diambars de Saly
18 May
Diambars de Saly
2 : 1
Guediawaye
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teungueth 26 14 8 4 31:18 50
2 ASC Jaraaf 26 11 13 2 30:12 46
3 Dakar Sacre-Coeur 26 10 11 5 29:15 41
4 Guediawaye 26 9 13 4 27:23 40
5 Pikine 26 9 11 6 20:14 38
6 Sonacos 26 7 12 7 16:16 33
7 US Goree 26 7 11 8 15:17 32
8 Jamono Fatick 26 8 7 11 25:25 31
9 Linguere 26 6 13 7 13:17 31
10 Ouakam 26 7 9 10 22:25 30
11 Generation Foot 26 6 11 9 15:24 29
12 Casa 26 7 6 13 18:29 27
13 Mbour 26 3 14 9 17:25 23
14 Diambars de Saly 26 4 9 13 25:43 21
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2024/2025 (Qualification)