Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Casa vs Pikine

Senegal Senegal

Ligue 1 2025/2026
Casa Logo

Casa

1 - 0
FT
Pikine Logo

Pikine

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between Casa and Pikine finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Casa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Casa
30%
Draws
16%
Pikine
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Casa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Casa's 0.97 goals per match outpaces what Pikine have produced (0.67).
  • Win probability leans Casa's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Casa Clean Sheet 20%
Pikine Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Casa Pikine
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 19 13
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 0.97 0.67
Goals Conceded 0.67 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Ligue 1
Casa vs Pikine
1:0
Feb 1, 2026 Ligue 1
Pikine vs Casa
1:1
May 25, 2025 Ligue 1
Pikine vs Casa
2:0
Jan 5, 2025 Ligue 1
Casa vs Pikine
1:0
May 5, 2024 Ligue 1
Casa vs Pikine
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Casa 67 / 100
Pikine 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Casa Pikine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Casa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Casa found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Casa stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Pikine lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Pikine has conceded goals in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Casa VS Pikine
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Casa

(Home)
04 Jun
Casa
1 : 2
Dakar Sacre-Coeur
22 May
ASC Jaraaf
0 : 0
Casa
17 May
Casa
1 : 0
Pikine
13 May
Sonacos
0 : 3
Casa
10 May
Casa
1 : 2
Generation Foot
Page 1 of 6

Pikine

(Away)
04 Jun
ASC HLM
2 : 1
Pikine
22 May
Pikine
1 : 2
AS Camberene
17 May
Casa
1 : 0
Pikine
13 May
Pikine
0 : 0
ASC Jaraaf
10 May
Pikine
0 : 0
Dakar Sacre-Coeur
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teungueth 30 13 15 2 21:6 54
2 AJEL 30 15 9 6 27:19 54
3 Generation Foot 30 13 9 8 37:22 48
4 US Goree 30 11 15 4 29:14 48
5 Wally Daan 30 10 14 6 29:24 44
6 Ouakam 30 8 18 4 23:16 42
7 ASC Jaraaf 30 9 14 7 21:16 41
8 Casa 30 7 19 4 29:20 40
9 Pikine 30 7 13 10 20:19 34
10 Mbour 30 5 18 7 18:21 33
11 ASC HLM 30 5 18 7 18:24 33
12 Dakar Sacre-Coeur 30 5 16 9 24:37 31
13 Guediawaye 30 7 8 15 29:34 28
14 Linguere 30 3 16 11 22:36 25
15 Sonacos 30 4 13 13 18:39 25
16 AS Camberene 30 3 15 12 16:34 24
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)