Sport Picks
Casalarreina CF vs Agoncillo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 16 
Match Events
8'
8'
Calavia J.
12'
12'
Pascual A.
25'
25'
Pascual A.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 game between Casalarreina CF and Agoncillo finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Agoncillo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
20%
58%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Agoncillo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Agoncillo come out ahead of Casalarreina CF on wins alone.
- 58% — that's where the model lands on Agoncillo taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Casalarreina CF Clean Sheet 11%
Agoncillo Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Casalarreina CF | Agoncillo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 8 | 14 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 18 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.21 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.15 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Casalarreina CF vs Agoncillo
1:5
Jan 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Casalarreina CF vs Agoncillo
1:1
Sep 8, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Agoncillo vs Casalarreina CF
4:0
Feb 4, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Casalarreina CF vs Agoncillo
0:1
Oct 2, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Agoncillo vs Casalarreina CF
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Casalarreina CF Compare
Top Goalscorer Galiana H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.57
Agoncillo Compare
Top Goalscorer Pascual A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Calavia J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Casalarreina CF 10 / 100
Agoncillo 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Casalarreina CF Agoncillo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Agoncillo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Agoncillo let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Casalarreina CF scored in 66% of their last 29 games.
Casalarreina CF has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Casalarreina CF VS Agoncillo
0.67 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
67% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 63%
17% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Casalarreina CF
(Home) 04 Oct
Calasancio
2 : 1 Casalarreina CF
26 Sept
Casalarreina CF
1 : 5 Agoncillo
18 Sept
Oyonesa
1 : 0 Casalarreina CF
13 Sept
Casalarreina CF
0 : 3 CDFC La Calzada
05 Sept
Pradejon
1 : 2 Casalarreina CF
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Casalarreina CF
1 : 5 Agoncillo
13 Sept
Casalarreina CF
0 : 3 CDFC La Calzada
04 May
Casalarreina CF
1 : 0 Autol
16 Apr
Casalarreina CF
3 : 1 River Ebro
06 Apr
Casalarreina CF
2 : 3 Pena Balsamaiso
Page 1 of 3
Agoncillo
(Away) 04 Oct
Agoncillo
2 : 0 Vianes
26 Sept
Casalarreina CF
1 : 5 Agoncillo
18 Sept
Agoncillo
3 : 5 CD Calahorra
13 Sept
Anguiano
1 : 1 Agoncillo
05 Sept
Agoncillo
1 : 1 Haro Deportivo
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Casalarreina CF
1 : 5 Agoncillo
13 Sept
Anguiano
1 : 1 Agoncillo
10 May
Vianes
2 : 1 Agoncillo
26 Apr
San Marcial
4 : 3 Agoncillo
12 Apr
Varea
3 : 1 Agoncillo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haro Deportivo | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:6 | 13 |
| 2 | Berceo | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14:5 | 12 |
| 3 | CDFC La Calzada | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 12 |
| 4 | Alfaro | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 5 | Pradejon | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 6 | CD Calahorra | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14:7 | 9 |
| 7 | Agoncillo | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 8 |
| 8 | Anguiano | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 8 |
| 9 | Varea | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4:3 | 7 |
| 10 | San Marcial | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:4 | 6 |
| 11 | Yague | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:11 | 6 |
| 12 | Cenicero | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | 5 |
| 13 | Oyonesa | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | 5 |
| 14 | Comillas CF | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | 5 |
| 15 | Calasancio | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:12 | 5 |
| 16 | River Ebro | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:15 | 4 |
| 17 | Casalarreina CF | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:12 | 3 |
| 18 | Vianes | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5:10 | 1 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 (Play Offs)
