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Casalarreina CF vs CCD Alberite

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Baztan A.
38' Event
Clemente E.
40' Event
Chivulescu A.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Casalarreina CF in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Casalarreina CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Casalarreina CF
6%
Draws
4%
CCD Alberite
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Casalarreina CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Casalarreina CF lately — more wins on the board than CCD Alberite.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Casalarreina CF taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Casalarreina CF Clean Sheet 12%
CCD Alberite Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Casalarreina CF CCD Alberite
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 3
Draws 3 6
Losses 20 21
Goals Scored 0.75 0.5
Goals Conceded 3 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CCD Alberite vs Casalarreina CF
0:1
Oct 22, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Casalarreina CF vs CCD Alberite
5:1
Feb 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CCD Alberite vs Casalarreina CF
0:1
Nov 29, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Casalarreina CF vs CCD Alberite
1:2
Mar 29, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Casalarreina CF vs CCD Alberite
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Casalarreina CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Baztan A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

CCD Alberite Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Casalarreina CF 83 / 100
CCD Alberite 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Casalarreina CF CCD Alberite

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CCD Alberite's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

Casalarreina CF scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Casalarreina CF remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Casalarreina CF VS CCD Alberite
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
3 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Casalarreina CF

(Home)
11 May
CDFC La Calzada
2 : 0
Casalarreina CF
04 May
Casalarreina CF
1 : 0
Autol
27 Apr
CD Tedeon
1 : 3
Casalarreina CF
16 Apr
Casalarreina CF
3 : 1
River Ebro
13 Apr
Vianes
0 : 1
Casalarreina CF
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CCD Alberite

(Away)
04 Oct
CCD Alberite
1 : 1
Puerto de Vega
27 Sept
Puerto de Vega
4 : 0
CCD Alberite
12 May
Varea
2 : 1
CCD Alberite
05 May
CCD Alberite
1 : 3
Haro Deportivo
01 May
Alfaro
9 : 0
CCD Alberite
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1UD Logrones B34237467:1976
2Alfaro34237480:3676
3CD Calahorra B34207770:3467
4Anguiano34198769:4165
5Varea34187959:3161
6Oyonesa341771046:2858
7Casalarreina CF341510957:4955
8CDFC La Calzada341391252:4348
9Berceo341381343:4447
10Arnedo341191436:4842
11Pena Balsamaiso341261651:6242
12Racing Rioja341161737:5539
13River Ebro341081640:5038
14Vianes34961930:6233
15Haro Deportivo34871938:5031
16CD Tedeon34862025:6130
17Comillas CF343151638:5924
18CCD Alberite34452537:10317
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 (Play Offs)