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Casale vs Asti Calcio Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group A 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
De Felice M.
28'
Di Battista M.
41' Event
Moreo N.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 game between Casale and Asti Calcio finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Casale
30%
Draws
54%
Asti Calcio
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Asti Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Casale haven't matched Asti Calcio's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Asti Calcio a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Casale Clean Sheet 20%
Asti Calcio Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Casale Asti Calcio
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 1 8
Draws 5 10
Losses 24 13
Goals Scored 0.5 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.43 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Casale vs Asti Calcio
1:1
Dec 21, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Asti Calcio vs Casale
2:0
Apr 27, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Asti Calcio vs Casale
0:0
Mar 9, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Casale vs Asti Calcio
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Casale Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreo N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Asti Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Giacchino G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Casale 28 / 100
Asti Calcio 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Casale Asti Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Asti Calcio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Asti Calcio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Casale found the back of the net in 37% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Casale went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Asti Calcio
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Casale

(Home)
07 May
Casale
1 : 1
Asti Calcio
30 Apr
Chisola
2 : 1
Casale
23 Apr
Casale
2 : 2
Pinerolo
15 Apr
Sanremese
1 : 0
Casale
06 Apr
Casale
0 : 2
Castanese
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Asti Calcio

(Away)
27 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 0
Asti Calcio
20 Sept
Asti Calcio
2 : 2
Valenzana
16 Sept
Imperia Calcio
1 : 2
Asti Calcio
12 Sept
Asti Calcio
2 : 0
Gozzano
06 Sept
Sestri Levante
2 : 0
Asti Calcio
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sestri Levante 38 30 4 4 77:29 94
2 Sanremese 38 21 11 6 59:33 74
3 Bra 38 21 11 6 59:31 74
4 Vado 38 19 12 7 61:40 69
5 Ligorna 38 17 15 6 50:36 66
6 Legnano 38 17 9 12 53:35 60
7 Asti Calcio 38 13 18 7 44:35 57
8 Gozzano 38 16 7 15 51:48 55
9 Borgosesia Calcio 38 14 10 14 54:54 52
10 PDHA 38 12 11 15 33:43 47
11 Castellanzese 38 11 13 14 51:55 46
12 AC Chieri 38 10 15 13 41:45 45
13 Fezzanese 38 11 12 15 47:58 45
14 Chisola 38 11 10 17 43:53 43
15 Pinerolo 38 8 18 12 38:44 42
16 Derthona FbC 38 9 15 14 55:62 42
17 Castanese 38 9 12 17 43:57 39
18 Stresa Vergante 38 7 13 18 37:47 34
19 Casale 38 5 9 24 28:79 24
20 Fossano 38 1 11 26 40:80 14
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 (Play Out)