Sport Picks
Match Events
68'
68'
Ciko S.
AI Match Summary
Derthona FbC in this Coppa Italia Serie D 2022/2023 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
10%
35%
55%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Derthona FbC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
55%
/ Medium Confidence
- Derthona FbC have won more games recently than Casale.
- Model gives Derthona FbC a 55% chance of winning this.
- Derthona FbC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Derthona FbC, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Casale Clean Sheet 20%
Derthona FbC Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Casale | Derthona FbC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 1 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 24 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.5 | 1.06 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.43 | 1.16 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 0.99 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 15, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Casale vs Derthona FbC
3:4
Nov 2, 2022 Coppa Italia Serie D
Casale vs Derthona FbC
0:1
Sep 11, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Derthona FbC vs Casale
2:2
Apr 6, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Derthona FbC vs Casale
0:0
Oct 10, 2021 Serie D - Group A
Casale vs Derthona FbC
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Casale Compare
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58
Derthona FbC Compare
Top Goalscorer Ciko S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Casale 12 / 100
Derthona FbC 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Casale Derthona FbC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Derthona FbC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Derthona FbC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Casale scored in 37% of their last 30 outings.
Casale has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Derthona FbC
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Casale
(Home) 07 May
Casale
1 : 1 Asti Calcio
30 Apr
Chisola
2 : 1 Casale
23 Apr
Casale
2 : 2 Pinerolo
15 Apr
Sanremese
1 : 0 Casale
06 Apr
Casale
0 : 2 Castanese
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07 May
Casale
1 : 1 Asti Calcio
23 Apr
Casale
2 : 2 Pinerolo
06 Apr
Casale
0 : 2 Castanese
19 Mar
Casale
0 : 1 Legnano
05 Mar
Casale
0 : 6 Sestri Levante
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Derthona FbC
(Away) 27 Sept
Saluzzo
0 : 0 Derthona FbC
20 Sept
Derthona FbC
1 : 0 Millesimo
16 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 3 Derthona FbC
13 Sept
Derthona FbC
1 : 1 Imperia Calcio
06 Sept
Celle Varazze
0 : 1 Derthona FbC
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27 Sept
Saluzzo
0 : 0 Derthona FbC
16 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 3 Derthona FbC
06 Sept
Celle Varazze
0 : 1 Derthona FbC
03 May
Saluzzo
1 : 1 Derthona FbC
19 Apr
Varese FC
1 : 0 Derthona FbC
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Chisola 1
Bra 3
Ligorna 2
Sestri Levante 1
Casale 0
Derthona FbC 1
Crema 2
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Franciacorta 3
Breno 1
Varesina 0
Varese FC 1
Arconatese 3
Caronnese 0
Giana Erminio 2
Alcione Milano 1
Cjarlins Muzane 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi 2
Clodiense 2
Legnago Salus 1
Caldiero Terme 1
Montebelluna 2
Este 1
Adriese 3
Carpi 1
United Riccione 2
G.S. Bagnolese 3
Correggese 2
Seravezza Pozzi 3
Pistoiese 0
Prato 1
Poggibonsi 0
Lupa Frascati 1
Arezzo 2
Sporting Trestina 0
Orvietana 2
Porto D'Ascoli 1
Pineto 2
US Tolentino 2
Fano 1
Arzachena 0
Sarrabus Ogliastra 1
Roma City 0
Tivoli Calcio 3
Trastevere Calcio 2
Flaminia 1
Puteolana Internapoli 1
Molfetta Calcio 0
Cavese 2
Vastogirardi 1
Citta di Fasano 0
Altamura 1
Casertana 3
Real Normanna 2
Francavilla 1
Lavello 0
Nocerina 3
Portici 1906 4
Lamezia Terme 3
Cittanovese 0
AS Acireale 2
Paterno 0
S. Agata 1
Trapani 2
1/16-finals
Bra 2
Ligorna 0
Derthona FbC 1
Crema 2
Franciacorta 0
Varese FC 1
Arconatese 1
Giana Erminio 3
Dolomiti Bellunesi 0
Clodiense 1
Montebelluna 1
Adriese 2
United Riccione 3
G.S. Bagnolese 1
Seravezza Pozzi 2
Prato 3
Arezzo 2
Orvietana 1
Pineto 5
US Tolentino 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra 1
Tivoli Calcio 0
Trastevere Calcio 0
Puteolana Internapoli 1
Cavese 2
Altamura 0
Casertana 0
Francavilla 2
Portici 1906 1
Lamezia Terme 2
AS Acireale 0
Trapani 7
1/8-finals
Bra 1
Crema 3
Varese FC 0
Giana Erminio 2
Clodiense 0
Adriese 6
United Riccione 1
Prato 0
Arezzo 1
Pineto 2
Sarrabus Ogliastra 1
Puteolana Internapoli 2
Cavese 1
Francavilla 0
Lamezia Terme 2
Trapani 1
Quarter-finals
Crema 1
Giana Erminio 2
Adriese 3
United Riccione 1
Pineto 4
Puteolana Internapoli 1
Cavese 1
Lamezia Terme 2
Semi-finals
Giana Erminio 1
Adriese 0
Pineto 1
Lamezia Terme 0
Final
Giana Erminio 2
Pineto 4
