Sport Picks
Casale vs Sestri Levante Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 
Match Events
8'
8'
Marquez F.
14'
14'
Candiano M.
(Penalty)
23'
23'
Pane M.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 game between Casale and Sestri Levante finished 0-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sestri Levante.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sestri Levante
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Sestri Levante come out ahead of Casale on wins alone.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Casale taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Casale Clean Sheet 20%
Sestri Levante Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Casale | Sestri Levante |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 35 |
| Wins | 1 | 16 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 24 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.5 | 1.54 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.43 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 5, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Casale vs Sestri Levante
0:6
Oct 30, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Sestri Levante vs Casale
1:0
Mar 20, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Casale vs Sestri Levante
0:0
Nov 10, 2021 Serie D - Group A
Sestri Levante vs Casale
0:0
Apr 10, 2021 Serie D - Group A
Sestri Levante vs Casale
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Casale Compare
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65
Sestri Levante Compare
Top Goalscorer Marquez F.
2 Goals Assists Leader Cominetti M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Casale 36 / 100
Sestri Levante 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Casale Sestri Levante
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Sestri Levante conceded in 74% of 35 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Sestri Levante lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Casale scored in 37% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Sestri Levante
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Casale
(Home) 07 May
Casale
1 : 1 Asti Calcio
30 Apr
Chisola
2 : 1 Casale
23 Apr
Casale
2 : 2 Pinerolo
15 Apr
Sanremese
1 : 0 Casale
06 Apr
Casale
0 : 2 Castanese
Page 1 of 6
07 May
Casale
1 : 1 Asti Calcio
23 Apr
Casale
2 : 2 Pinerolo
06 Apr
Casale
0 : 2 Castanese
19 Mar
Casale
0 : 1 Legnano
05 Mar
Casale
0 : 6 Sestri Levante
Page 1 of 4
Sestri Levante
(Away) 27 Sept
Sestri Levante
1 : 2 AS Biellese
20 Sept
GSD Lascaris
1 : 1 Sestri Levante
16 Sept
Sestri Levante
0 : 3 Fezzanese
13 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 1 Sestri Levante
06 Sept
Sestri Levante
2 : 0 Asti Calcio
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
GSD Lascaris
1 : 1 Sestri Levante
13 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 1 Sestri Levante
19 Aug
Sampdoria U20
1 : 4 Sestri Levante
07 Aug
Seravezza Pozzi
2 : 2 Sestri Levante
26 Apr
Celle Varazze
1 : 0 Sestri Levante
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sestri Levante | 38 | 30 | 4 | 4 | 77:29 | 94 |
| 2 | Sanremese | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 59:33 | 74 |
| 3 | Bra | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 59:31 | 74 |
| 4 | Vado | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 61:40 | 69 |
| 5 | Ligorna | 38 | 17 | 15 | 6 | 50:36 | 66 |
| 6 | Legnano | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 53:35 | 60 |
| 7 | Asti Calcio | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 44:35 | 57 |
| 8 | Gozzano | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 51:48 | 55 |
| 9 | Borgosesia Calcio | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 54:54 | 52 |
| 10 | PDHA | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 33:43 | 47 |
| 11 | Castellanzese | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 51:55 | 46 |
| 12 | AC Chieri | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 41:45 | 45 |
| 13 | Fezzanese | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 47:58 | 45 |
| 14 | Chisola | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 43:53 | 43 |
| 15 | Pinerolo | 38 | 8 | 18 | 12 | 38:44 | 42 |
| 16 | Derthona FbC | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 55:62 | 42 |
| 17 | Castanese | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 43:57 | 39 |
| 18 | Stresa Vergante | 38 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 37:47 | 34 |
| 19 | Casale | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 28:79 | 24 |
| 20 | Fossano | 38 | 1 | 11 | 26 | 40:80 | 14 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 (Play Out)
