Sport Picks
Match Events
7'
7'
Sub
Celiento D. In: Versienti L.
Out: Celiento D.
45'
45'
Grandolfo F.
46'
46'
Sub
Santarcangelo A. In: Leonetti V.
Out: Santarcangelo A.
AI Match Summary
The Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 game between Casarano and Giugliano finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Casarano.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Casarano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Casarano carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Casarano a 59% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Casarano have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Casarano Clean Sheet 18%
Giugliano Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Casarano | Giugliano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 6 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 28, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Casarano vs Giugliano
4:3
Mar 29, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Casarano vs Giugliano
2:0
Nov 22, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Giugliano vs Casarano
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Casarano Compare
Top Goalscorer Grandolfo F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Leonetti V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Giugliano Compare
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Casarano 76 / 100
Giugliano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Casarano Giugliano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Casarano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Giugliano has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 4.33 goals when they meet.
Casarano's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Casarano went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Casarano VS Giugliano
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Casarano
(Home) 27 Sept
Casarano
0 : 1 Monopoli
19 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1 Casarano
15 Sept
Casarano
1 : 0 Audace Cerignola
11 Sept
Casarano
3 : 1 Barletta
05 Sept
Bari
1 : 0 Casarano
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Casarano
0 : 1 Monopoli
15 Sept
Casarano
1 : 0 Audace Cerignola
11 Sept
Casarano
3 : 1 Barletta
28 Aug
Casarano
4 : 3 Giugliano
17 May
Casarano
0 : 3 Union Brescia
Page 1 of 3
Giugliano
(Away) 19 Sept
Salernitana
1 : 0 Giugliano
15 Sept
Giugliano
5 : 2 Cosenza
11 Sept
Audace Cerignola
4 : 0 Giugliano
05 Sept
Giugliano
0 : 2 Sorrento
28 Aug
Casarano
4 : 3 Giugliano
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Salernitana
1 : 0 Giugliano
11 Sept
Audace Cerignola
4 : 0 Giugliano
28 Aug
Casarano
4 : 3 Giugliano
05 Aug
Catanzaro
3 : 0 Giugliano
26 Apr
Casertana
1 : 1 Giugliano
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benevento | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 74:28 | 82 |
| 2 | Catania | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54:25 | 70 |
| 3 | Salernitana | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 50:42 | 69 |
| 4 | Cosenza | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 58:40 | 67 |
| 5 | Casertana | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 55:44 | 66 |
| 6 | Crotone | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 59:40 | 61 |
| 7 | Monopoli | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 39:41 | 56 |
| 8 | Casarano | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 56:57 | 56 |
| 9 | Audace Cerignola | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 50:54 | 54 |
| 10 | Potenza | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 54:56 | 49 |
| 11 | Atalanta U23 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 53:50 | 45 |
| 12 | Altamura | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 32:49 | 45 |
| 13 | Latina | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 35:44 | 42 |
| 14 | Cavese | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 36:42 | 42 |
| 15 | Picerno | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 43:55 | 40 |
| 16 | Sorrento | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 39:55 | 39 |
| 17 | Giugliano | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 35:52 | 37 |
| 18 | Foggia | 38 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 28:60 | 27 |
| 19 | Siracusa | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 48:57 | 26 |
| 20 | Trapani | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:54 | 24 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
