Sport Picks
Casarano vs Molfetta Calcio
Italy
Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 Stadio Giuseppe Capozza, Casarano 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Casarano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Casarano lately — more wins on the board than Molfetta Calcio.
- 46% — that's where the model lands on Casarano taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Casarano Clean Sheet 68%
Molfetta Calcio Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Casarano | Molfetta Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.53 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.79 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 1, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Casarano vs Molfetta Calcio
0:0
Nov 20, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Molfetta Calcio vs Casarano
1:2
Apr 14, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Molfetta Calcio vs Casarano
0:1
Dec 5, 2021 Serie D - Group H
Casarano vs Molfetta Calcio
0:1
Apr 18, 2021 Serie D - Group H
Casarano vs Molfetta Calcio
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Casarano 68 / 100
Molfetta Calcio 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Casarano Molfetta Calcio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Casarano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Casarano scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
Molfetta Calcio let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
Solid form: Casarano remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Away concern: Molfetta Calcio has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Casarano VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Casarano
(Home) 27 Sept
Casarano
0 : 1 Monopoli
19 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1 Casarano
15 Sept
Casarano
1 : 0 Audace Cerignola
11 Sept
Casarano
3 : 1 Barletta
05 Sept
Bari
1 : 0 Casarano
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Casarano
0 : 1 Monopoli
15 Sept
Casarano
1 : 0 Audace Cerignola
11 Sept
Casarano
3 : 1 Barletta
28 Aug
Casarano
4 : 3 Giugliano
17 May
Casarano
0 : 3 Union Brescia
Page 1 of 3
Molfetta Calcio
(Away) 10 Aug
Molfetta Calcio
2 : 1 Barletta
14 May
Gravina
3 : 1 Molfetta Calcio
07 May
Molfetta Calcio
0 : 2 Afragolese
30 Apr
Altamura
2 : 1 Molfetta Calcio
23 Apr
Molfetta Calcio
1 : 0 Nocerina
Page 1 of 6
14 May
Gravina
3 : 1 Molfetta Calcio
30 Apr
Altamura
2 : 1 Molfetta Calcio
16 Apr
Brindisi
1 : 1 Molfetta Calcio
01 Apr
Casarano
0 : 0 Molfetta Calcio
12 Mar
Gravina
0 : 0 Molfetta Calcio
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brindisi | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 59:27 | 69 |
| 2 | Cavese | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 66:35 | 69 |
| 3 | A.C.D. Nardo | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 51:26 | 65 |
| 4 | Barletta | 34 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 42:29 | 64 |
| 5 | Casarano | 34 | 13 | 18 | 3 | 46:32 | 57 |
| 6 | Altamura | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 51:37 | 56 |
| 7 | Matera | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 53:46 | 50 |
| 8 | Martina Calcio | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 40:43 | 45 |
| 9 | Citta di Fasano | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 43:43 | 44 |
| 10 | Bitonto | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 45:51 | 43 |
| 11 | Afragolese | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 41:45 | 39 |
| 12 | San Felice Gladiator | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 42:55 | 37 |
| 13 | Nocerina | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 40:51 | 36 |
| 14 | Gravina | 34 | 7 | 15 | 12 | 29:41 | 36 |
| 15 | Molfetta Calcio | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 40:50 | 32 |
| 16 | Francavilla | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 38:51 | 30 |
| 17 | Lavello | 34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 31:68 | 26 |
| 18 | Puteolana Internapoli | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 32:59 | 19 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 (Play Out)
