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Casarano vs Monopoli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C Stadio Giuseppe Capozza, Casarano
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Angileri A.
13'
Ferrara V.
24'
Ciotti P.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group C game between Casarano and Monopoli finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Monopoli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Casarano
35%
Draws
37%
Monopoli
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Monopoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Casarano come out ahead of Monopoli on wins alone.
  • Model gives Casarano a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Monopoli have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Casarano Clean Sheet 20%
Monopoli Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Casarano Monopoli
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.52 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Casarano vs Monopoli
0:1
May 3, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Monopoli vs Casarano
0:2
Mar 9, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Monopoli vs Casarano
2:1
Nov 1, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Casarano vs Monopoli
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Casarano 36 / 100
Monopoli 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Casarano Monopoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Casarano found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Monopoli let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Casarano went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Casarano VS Monopoli
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Casarano

(Home)
03 Oct
Sorrento
2 : 0
Casarano
27 Sept
Casarano
0 : 1
Monopoli
19 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Casarano
15 Sept
Casarano
1 : 0
Audace Cerignola
11 Sept
Casarano
3 : 1
Barletta
Page 1 of 6

Monopoli

(Away)
03 Oct
Monopoli
0 : 0
A.C. Savoia
27 Sept
Casarano
0 : 1
Monopoli
20 Sept
Monopoli
2 : 2
Crotone
15 Sept
Scafatese
0 : 0
Monopoli
12 Sept
Monopoli
1 : 0
Foggia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Potenza 8 6 1 1 21:11 19
2 Sorrento 8 6 0 2 12:7 18
3 Bari 8 5 1 2 11:6 16
4 Catania 8 4 1 3 14:10 13
5 Salernitana 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
6 Monopoli 8 3 3 2 6:4 12
7 Picerno 8 4 0 4 16:15 12
8 Casertana 8 3 3 2 12:12 12
9 Audace Cerignola 8 3 2 3 11:7 11
10 Foggia 8 3 2 3 8:7 11
11 Cavese 8 3 2 3 14:14 11
12 Scafatese 7 2 4 1 10:9 10
13 Inter U23 6 3 1 2 11:11 10
14 Casarano 8 3 1 4 10:13 10
15 Altamura 8 2 2 4 4:10 8
16 A.C. Savoia 8 1 4 3 9:11 7
17 Barletta 8 1 4 3 11:14 7
18 Giugliano 7 2 1 4 12:16 7
19 Cosenza 8 0 2 6 5:18 2
20 Crotone 8 1 3 4 8:12 0
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)