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Stadium Background

Casarano vs Picerno

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Giuseppe Capozza, Casarano
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Bianchi S.
11'
Gyamfi B.
19'
Kanoute M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Casarano
20%
Draws
57%
Picerno
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Picerno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Casarano lately — more wins on the board than Picerno.
  • Picerno are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 79.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Casarano Clean Sheet 19%
Picerno Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Casarano Picerno
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 5 9
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.48 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.37 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Casarano vs Picerno
2:2
Sep 13, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Picerno vs Casarano
1:2
Jun 16, 2021 Serie D - Group H
Picerno vs Casarano
1:0
May 16, 2021 Serie D - Group H
Picerno vs Casarano
2:2
Jan 24, 2021 Serie D - Group H
Casarano vs Picerno
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Casarano Compare

Top Goalscorer Giraudo F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leonetti V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.69

Picerno Compare

Top Goalscorer Bianchi S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Casarano 24 / 100
Picerno 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Casarano Picerno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Picerno Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Casarano scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Picerno let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Casarano stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Casarano VS Picerno
1.88 Goals Scored 1.57
1 Goals Conceded 0.86
88% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Casarano

(Home)
28 Aug
Casarano
4 : 3
Giugliano
21 Aug
Potenza
4 : 1
Casarano
16 Aug
Bari
1 : 0
Casarano
20 May
Union Brescia
0 : 0
Casarano
17 May
Casarano
0 : 3
Union Brescia
Page 1 of 6

Picerno

(Away)
28 Aug
Scafatese
0 : 2
Picerno
23 Aug
Picerno
3 : 2
A.C. Savoia
14 Aug
Picerno
2 : 1
Barletta
26 Apr
Picerno
0 : 0
Sorrento
19 Apr
Salernitana
2 : 1
Picerno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benevento 38 25 7 6 74:28 82
2 Catania 38 19 13 6 54:25 70
3 Salernitana 38 20 9 9 50:42 69
4 Cosenza 38 19 10 9 58:40 67
5 Casertana 38 19 9 10 55:44 66
6 Crotone 38 18 7 13 59:40 61
7 Monopoli 38 15 11 12 39:41 56
8 Casarano 38 16 8 14 56:57 56
9 Audace Cerignola 38 14 12 12 50:54 54
10 Potenza 38 12 13 13 54:56 49
11 Atalanta U23 38 11 12 15 53:50 45
12 Altamura 38 11 12 15 32:49 45
13 Latina 38 10 12 16 35:44 42
14 Cavese 38 9 15 14 36:42 42
15 Picerno 38 9 13 16 43:55 40
16 Sorrento 38 9 12 17 39:55 39
17 Giugliano 38 9 10 19 35:52 37
18 Foggia 38 6 9 23 28:60 27
19 Siracusa 38 9 10 19 48:57 26
20 Trapani 38 13 10 15 47:54 24
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)