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Casertana vs Monopoli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C Stadio Alberto Pinto, Caserta
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Casertana host Monopoli in the Serie C - Group C. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Casertana have averaged 1.48 scored and 1.31 conceded recently, against Monopoli's 0.79 scored and 0.97 conceded. Head-to-head, Casertana have won 2 to Monopoli's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 15, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.25) point toward Casertana. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Casertana
35%
Draws
32%
Monopoli
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Casertana carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Casertana a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Casertana Clean Sheet 19%
Monopoli Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Casertana Monopoli
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.48 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.31 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Casertana vs Monopoli
2:1
Nov 9, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Monopoli vs Casertana
1:1
Mar 23, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Monopoli vs Casertana
1:0
Nov 9, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Casertana vs Monopoli
0:0
Jan 6, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Monopoli vs Casertana
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Casertana 36 / 100
Monopoli 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Casertana Monopoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Casertana's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Monopoli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Casertana has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Casertana VS Monopoli
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Casertana

(Home)
27 Sept
Casertana
1 : 2
Catania
19 Sept
Audace Cerignola
0 : 0
Casertana
15 Sept
Casertana
1 : 0
Altamura
12 Sept
Inter U23
2 : 3
Casertana
06 Sept
Casertana
2 : 2
Scafatese
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Monopoli

(Away)
27 Sept
Casarano
0 : 1
Monopoli
20 Sept
Monopoli
2 : 2
Crotone
15 Sept
Scafatese
0 : 0
Monopoli
12 Sept
Monopoli
1 : 0
Foggia
05 Sept
Potenza
1 : 0
Monopoli
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Potenza 7 5 1 1 17:9 16
2 Bari 7 5 1 1 10:4 16
3 Sorrento 7 5 0 2 10:7 15
4 Picerno 7 4 0 3 14:11 12
5 Casertana 7 3 3 1 12:10 12
6 Monopoli 7 3 2 2 6:4 11
7 Audace Cerignola 7 3 1 3 11:7 10
8 Catania 7 3 1 3 12:9 10
9 Scafatese 7 2 4 1 10:9 10
10 Inter U23 6 3 1 2 11:11 10
11 Casarano 7 3 1 3 10:11 10
12 Salernitana 7 2 3 2 10:9 9
13 Foggia 7 2 2 3 6:7 8
14 Cavese 7 2 2 3 12:14 8
15 Barletta 7 1 4 2 11:13 7
16 Altamura 7 2 1 4 4:10 7
17 A.C. Savoia 7 1 3 3 9:11 6
18 Giugliano 6 1 1 4 11:16 4
19 Cosenza 7 0 2 5 5:16 2
20 Crotone 7 1 3 3 7:10 0
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)