Sport Picks
Cashmere Technical vs Fencibles United AFC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
New Zealand
Chatham Cup 
Match Events
33'
33'
Munoz R.
62'
62'
Murphy N.
81'
81'
Nicol K.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cashmere Technical
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Cashmere Technical come out ahead of Fencibles United AFC on wins alone.
- 43% — that's where the model lands on Cashmere Technical taking it.
- Cashmere Technical have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Fencibles United AFC, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 27.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Cashmere Technical Clean Sheet 12%
Fencibles United AFC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cashmere Technical | Fencibles United AFC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 7 |
| Wins | 14 | 5 |
| Draws | 4 | 0 |
| Losses | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Scored | 2.82 | 1.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.82 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Chatham Cup
Cashmere Technical vs Fencibles United AFC
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cashmere Technical Compare
Top Goalscorer Murphy N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Fencibles United AFC Compare
Top Goalscorer Munoz R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Nicol K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.55
Avg xA / game 0.95
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cashmere Technical 83 / 100
Fencibles United AFC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cashmere Technical Fencibles United AFC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cashmere Technical Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cashmere Technical scored in 93% of their last 28 games.
Fencibles United AFC has conceded goals in 71% of their last 7 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Cashmere Technical stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Cashmere Technical VS Fencibles United AFC
2.88 Goals Scored 2.17
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 83%
38% Over 3.5 17%
Recent Form & Match History
Cashmere Technical
(Home) 04 Oct
Cashmere Technical
10 : 0 Wellington Phoenix 2
27 Sept
Birkenhead
0 : 4 Cashmere Technical
05 Sept
Cashmere Technical
1 : 2 Fencibles United AFC
16 Aug
Cashmere Technical
2 : 1 Napier City
26 Jul
Cashmere Technical
2 : 1 Miramar
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Cashmere Technical
10 : 0 Wellington Phoenix 2
05 Sept
Cashmere Technical
1 : 2 Fencibles United AFC
16 Aug
Cashmere Technical
2 : 1 Napier City
26 Jul
Cashmere Technical
2 : 1 Miramar
24 Feb
Cashmere Technical
2 : 1 Ferrymead Bays
Page 1 of 4
Fencibles United AFC
(Away) 05 Sept
Cashmere Technical
1 : 2 Fencibles United AFC
15 Aug
Fencibles United AFC
3 : 0 Nelson Suburbs FC
25 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
3 : 2 Auckland City
04 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
3 : 0 South Auckland Rangers
26 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
0 : 2 Eastern Suburbs
Page 1 of 2
05 Sept
Cashmere Technical
1 : 2 Fencibles United AFC
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Fencibles United AFC 3
South Auckland Rangers 0
Auckland City 3
Takapuna Afc 0
Nelson Suburbs FC 5
Northern AFC 0
Auckland United 3
Cambridge 1
Dunedin City Royals 0
Cashmere Technical 9
Island Bay 1
Miramar 3
Melville 0
Hibiscus Coast 1
Petone 0
Napier City 4
Quarter-finals
Fencibles United AFC 3
Auckland City 2
Nelson Suburbs FC 2
Auckland United 1
Cashmere Technical 2
Miramar 1
Hibiscus Coast 2
Napier City 5
Semi-finals
Fencibles United AFC 3
Nelson Suburbs FC 0
Cashmere Technical 2
Napier City 1
Final
Fencibles United AFC 2
Cashmere Technical 1
