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Cashmere Technical vs Napier City

New Zealand New Zealand

Chatham Cup
Cashmere Technical Logo

Cashmere Technical

2 - 1
FT
Napier City Logo

Napier City

Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Cooke C.
15' Event
Coughlan G.
48' Event
Matthysen L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Cashmere Technical
15%
Draws
36%
Napier City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cashmere Technical

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Cashmere Technical have won more games recently than Napier City.
  • Win probability leans Cashmere Technical's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Cashmere Technical have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Cashmere Technical, who have won 3 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • History favors Cashmere Technical here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
Cashmere Technical Clean Sheet 10%
Napier City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cashmere Technical Napier City
Matches Played 31 37
Wins 14 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 2.32 1.95
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Chatham Cup
Cashmere Technical vs Napier City
2:1
Nov 1, 2024 National League
Napier City vs Cashmere Technical
2:1
Nov 5, 2023 National League
Cashmere Technical vs Napier City
4:2
Nov 4, 2022 National League
Cashmere Technical vs Napier City
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cashmere Technical Compare

Top Goalscorer Coughlan G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matthysen L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Napier City Compare

Top Goalscorer Cooke C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cashmere Technical 83 / 100
Napier City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cashmere Technical Napier City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cashmere Technical Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cashmere Technical scored in 94% of their last 31 outings.

Napier City has conceded goals in 89% of their last 37 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Cashmere Technical remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cashmere Technical VS Napier City
2.13 Goals Scored 2.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Cashmere Technical

(Home)
05 Sept
Cashmere Technical
1 : 2
Fencibles United AFC
16 Aug
Cashmere Technical
2 : 1
Napier City
26 Jul
Cashmere Technical
2 : 1
Miramar
04 Jul
Dunedin City Royals
0 : 9
Cashmere Technical
24 Feb
Cashmere Technical
2 : 1
Ferrymead Bays
Page 1 of 7

Napier City

(Away)
16 Aug
Cashmere Technical
2 : 1
Napier City
26 Jul
Hibiscus Coast
2 : 5
Napier City
04 Jul
Petone
0 : 4
Napier City
06 Jul
Napier City
2 : 3
Wellington Olympic
23 Nov
Wellington Olympic
2 : 3
Napier City
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Fencibles United AFC 3
South Auckland Rangers 0
Auckland City 3
Takapuna Afc 0
Nelson Suburbs FC 5
Northern AFC 0
Auckland United 3
Cambridge 1
Dunedin City Royals 0
Cashmere Technical 9
Island Bay 1
Miramar 3
Melville 0
Hibiscus Coast 1
Petone 0
Napier City 4
Quarter-finals
Fencibles United AFC 3
Auckland City 2
Nelson Suburbs FC 2
Auckland United 1
Cashmere Technical 2
Miramar 1
Hibiscus Coast 2
Napier City 5
Semi-finals
Fencibles United AFC 3
Nelson Suburbs FC 0
Cashmere Technical 2
Napier City 1
Final
Fencibles United AFC 2
Cashmere Technical 1