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Cashmere Technical W vs Wellington Phoenix 2 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

New Zealand New Zealand

Kate Sheppard Cup Women
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
McDonald M.
88' Event
Luxton R.
90' Event
Stephan A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Cashmere Technical W
15%
Draws
34%
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cashmere Technical W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Wellington Phoenix 2 W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Cashmere Technical W a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Wellington Phoenix 2 W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Cashmere Technical W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 92%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 92%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Cashmere Technical W Clean Sheet 11%
Wellington Phoenix 2 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cashmere Technical W Wellington Phoenix 2 W
Matches Played 6 29
Wins 3 10
Draws 0 3
Losses 3 16
Goals Scored 1.33 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.99 1.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Kate Sheppard Cup Women
Cashmere Technical W vs Wellington Phoenix 2 W
2:1
Aug 17, 2025 Kate Sheppard Cup Women
Wellington Phoenix 2 W vs Cashmere Technical W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cashmere Technical W Compare

Top Goalscorer Luxton R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stephan A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.53
Avg xA / game 0.99

Wellington Phoenix 2 W Compare

Top Goalscorer McDonald M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cashmere Technical W 35 / 100
Wellington Phoenix 2 W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cashmere Technical W Wellington Phoenix 2 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cashmere Technical W's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 6 recent games.

Wellington Phoenix 2 W let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Cashmere Technical W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cashmere Technical W VS Wellington Phoenix 2 W
1.6 Goals Scored 2
1.6 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
20% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Cashmere Technical W

(Home)
05 Sept
Eastern Suburbs W
3 : 1
Cashmere Technical W
15 Aug
Cashmere Technical W
2 : 1
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
04 Jul
Dunedin City Royals W
1 : 2
Cashmere Technical W
17 Aug
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
2 : 1
Cashmere Technical W
06 Jul
Cashmere Technical W
2 : 1
Otago University W
Page 1 of 2

Wellington Phoenix 2 W

(Away)
11 Oct
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
0 : 2
West Coast Rangers W
04 Oct
Eastern Suburbs W
3 : 0
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
27 Sept
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
3 : 1
Canterbury United W
15 Aug
Cashmere Technical W
2 : 1
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
05 Jul
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
4 : 0
Waterside Karori W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Eastern Suburbs W 1
Auckland United W 0
Ellerslie W 2
Western Springs W 1
Dunedin City Royals W 1
Cashmere Technical W 2
Wellington Phoenix 2 W 4
Waterside Karori W 0
Semi-finals
Eastern Suburbs W 6
Ellerslie W 0
Cashmere Technical W 2
Wellington Phoenix 2 W 1
Final
Eastern Suburbs W 3
Cashmere Technical W 1