Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 game between Castanese and Derthona FbC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Castanese.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Derthona FbC come out ahead of Castanese on wins alone.
- 55% — that's where the model lands on Derthona FbC taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 3 times recently and Derthona FbC have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Castanese | Derthona FbC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 40 |
| Wins | 5 | 16 |
| Draws | 11 | 10 |
| Losses | 14 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.05 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 0.99 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Castanese Compare
Derthona FbC Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Castanese scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.
Derthona FbC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 40 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Castanese remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Castanese
(Home)Derthona FbC
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sestri Levante | 38 | 30 | 4 | 4 | 77:29 | 94 |
| 2 | Sanremese | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 59:33 | 74 |
| 3 | Bra | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 59:31 | 74 |
| 4 | Vado | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 61:40 | 69 |
| 5 | Ligorna | 38 | 17 | 15 | 6 | 50:36 | 66 |
| 6 | Legnano | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 53:35 | 60 |
| 7 | Asti Calcio | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 44:35 | 57 |
| 8 | Gozzano | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 51:48 | 55 |
| 9 | Borgosesia Calcio | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 54:54 | 52 |
| 10 | PDHA | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 33:43 | 47 |
| 11 | Castellanzese | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 51:55 | 46 |
| 12 | AC Chieri | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 41:45 | 45 |
| 13 | Fezzanese | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 47:58 | 45 |
| 14 | Chisola | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 43:53 | 43 |
| 15 | Pinerolo | 38 | 8 | 18 | 12 | 38:44 | 42 |
| 16 | Derthona FbC | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 55:62 | 42 |
| 17 | Castanese | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 43:57 | 39 |
| 18 | Stresa Vergante | 38 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 37:47 | 34 |
| 19 | Casale | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 28:79 | 24 |
| 20 | Fossano | 38 | 1 | 11 | 26 | 40:80 | 14 |
