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Castanese vs Fezzanese Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
N'Diyae L.
74'
Andrei T.
90' Event
Baudi A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 game between Castanese and Fezzanese finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Castanese
30%
Draws
54%
Fezzanese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fezzanese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fezzanese come out ahead of Castanese on wins alone.
  • 54% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Castanese Clean Sheet 20%
Fezzanese Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castanese Fezzanese
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 7
Draws 11 9
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 8, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Castanese vs Fezzanese
1:1
Sep 4, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Fezzanese vs Castanese
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Castanese Compare

Top Goalscorer N'Diyae L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Fezzanese Compare

Top Goalscorer Baudi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castanese 36 / 100
Fezzanese 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castanese Fezzanese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fezzanese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Fezzanese conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Castanese scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Castanese has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Fezzanese
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Castanese

(Home)
14 May
Derthona FbC
1 : 0
Castanese
07 May
Ligorna
2 : 1
Castanese
30 Apr
Castanese
1 : 1
Stresa Vergante
23 Apr
Vado
2 : 0
Castanese
16 Apr
Castanese
3 : 3
AC Chieri
Page 1 of 6

Fezzanese

(Away)
27 Sept
Imperia Calcio
2 : 0
Fezzanese
21 Sept
Fezzanese
0 : 2
Gozzano
16 Sept
Sestri Levante
0 : 3
Fezzanese
13 Sept
Fezzanese
2 : 0
Chisola
06 Sept
Bra
1 : 1
Fezzanese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sestri Levante 38 30 4 4 77:29 94
2 Sanremese 38 21 11 6 59:33 74
3 Bra 38 21 11 6 59:31 74
4 Vado 38 19 12 7 61:40 69
5 Ligorna 38 17 15 6 50:36 66
6 Legnano 38 17 9 12 53:35 60
7 Asti Calcio 38 13 18 7 44:35 57
8 Gozzano 38 16 7 15 51:48 55
9 Borgosesia Calcio 38 14 10 14 54:54 52
10 PDHA 38 12 11 15 33:43 47
11 Castellanzese 38 11 13 14 51:55 46
12 AC Chieri 38 10 15 13 41:45 45
13 Fezzanese 38 11 12 15 47:58 45
14 Chisola 38 11 10 17 43:53 43
15 Pinerolo 38 8 18 12 38:44 42
16 Derthona FbC 38 9 15 14 55:62 42
17 Castanese 38 9 12 17 43:57 39
18 Stresa Vergante 38 7 13 18 37:47 34
19 Casale 38 5 9 24 28:79 24
20 Fossano 38 1 11 26 40:80 14
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 (Play Out)