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Castanese vs PDHA

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Jeantet A.
15' Event
Becchi A.
(Penalty)
63' Event
Milani N.

AI Match Summary

Castanese in this Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Castanese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Castanese
20%
Draws
0%
PDHA
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Castanese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • PDHA haven't matched Castanese's recent run of results.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Castanese taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 13%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Castanese Clean Sheet 68%
PDHA Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castanese PDHA
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 4
Draws 11 6
Losses 14 22
Goals Scored 1 0.66
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Castanese vs PDHA
2:1
Nov 20, 2022 Serie D - Group A
PDHA vs Castanese
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Castanese Compare

Top Goalscorer Milani N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

PDHA Compare

Top Goalscorer Jeantet A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.67
Avg xA / game 0.41

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castanese 95 / 100
PDHA 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castanese PDHA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castanese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PDHA's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

PDHA lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Castanese scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS PDHA
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Castanese

(Home)
14 May
Derthona FbC
1 : 0
Castanese
07 May
Ligorna
2 : 1
Castanese
30 Apr
Castanese
1 : 1
Stresa Vergante
23 Apr
Vado
2 : 0
Castanese
16 Apr
Castanese
3 : 3
AC Chieri
Page 1 of 6

PDHA

(Away)
05 May
PDHA
1 : 3
Sanremese
28 Apr
AC Chieri
5 : 2
PDHA
21 Apr
PDHA
1 : 2
Alba
14 Apr
Fezzanese
1 : 0
PDHA
07 Apr
PDHA
1 : 2
Ligorna
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sestri Levante 38 30 4 4 77:29 94
2 Sanremese 38 21 11 6 59:33 74
3 Bra 38 21 11 6 59:31 74
4 Vado 38 19 12 7 61:40 69
5 Ligorna 38 17 15 6 50:36 66
6 Legnano 38 17 9 12 53:35 60
7 Asti Calcio 38 13 18 7 44:35 57
8 Gozzano 38 16 7 15 51:48 55
9 Borgosesia Calcio 38 14 10 14 54:54 52
10 PDHA 38 12 11 15 33:43 47
11 Castellanzese 38 11 13 14 51:55 46
12 AC Chieri 38 10 15 13 41:45 45
13 Fezzanese 38 11 12 15 47:58 45
14 Chisola 38 11 10 17 43:53 43
15 Pinerolo 38 8 18 12 38:44 42
16 Derthona FbC 38 9 15 14 55:62 42
17 Castanese 38 9 12 17 43:57 39
18 Stresa Vergante 38 7 13 18 37:47 34
19 Casale 38 5 9 24 28:79 24
20 Fossano 38 1 11 26 40:80 14
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 (Play Out)