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Castanhal vs SE Juventude

Brazil Brazil

Serie D 2022
Castanhal Logo

Castanhal

0 - 0
FT
SE Juventude Logo

SE Juventude

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D 2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Castanhal
20%
Draws
36%
SE Juventude
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Castanhal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Castanhal have won more games recently than SE Juventude.
  • 36% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Castanhal Clean Sheet 17%
SE Juventude Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castanhal SE Juventude
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 9 8
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 0.97 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2022 Serie D
SE Juventude vs Castanhal
1:0
May 21, 2022 Serie D
Castanhal vs SE Juventude
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castanhal 36 / 100
SE Juventude 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castanhal SE Juventude

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SE Juventude Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SE Juventude has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Castanhal scored in 56% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 0.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Castanhal stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Castanhal VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Castanhal

(Home)
11 Mar
Castanhal
0 : 4
Nova Iguacu
07 Mar
Castanhal
0 : 1
Capitao Poco
28 Feb
Castanhal
1 : 0
Aguia De Maraba
25 Feb
Castanhal
2 : 1
Guarani
22 Feb
Paysandu PA
1 : 0
Castanhal
Page 1 of 7

SE Juventude

(Away)
31 Jul
Amazonas
2 : 1
SE Juventude
23 Jul
SE Juventude
0 : 0
Amazonas
17 Jul
Fluminense-PI
1 : 2
SE Juventude
09 Jul
SE Juventude
2 : 2
Tuna Luso
02 Jul
SE Juventude
0 : 1
Moto Club
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amazonas 14 9 4 1 37:12 31
2 Rio Branco AC 14 8 3 3 24:11 27
3 Sao Raimundo AM 14 6 6 2 19:11 24
4 Sao Raimundo RR 14 6 5 3 21:14 23
5 Porto Velho 14 6 3 5 28:20 21
6 Trem 14 4 4 6 29:27 16
7 SC Humaita 14 1 3 10 11:32 6
8 Nautico FC 14 1 2 11 15:57 5
Promotion - Serie D 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moto Club 14 9 1 4 24:14 28
2 Tocantinopolis 14 6 4 4 23:21 22
3 Pacajus 14 5 5 4 15:13 20
4 SE Juventude 14 5 5 4 14:14 20
5 Fluminense-PI 14 4 5 5 23:19 17
6 Castanhal 14 4 5 5 16:15 17
7 Tuna Luso 14 3 4 7 12:25 13
8 Julho Esporte 14 2 7 5 13:19 13
Promotion - Serie D 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Retro 14 10 3 1 27:6 33
2 America RN 14 6 6 2 20:7 24
3 Sousa 14 7 2 5 18:17 23
4 Afogados da Ingazeira 14 6 4 4 23:12 22
5 Icasa 14 6 4 4 16:18 22
6 Sao Paulo Crystal 14 3 4 7 13:26 13
7 Globo FC 14 3 3 8 14:17 12
8 Crato 14 1 2 11 5:33 5
Promotion - Serie D 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ASA 14 7 4 3 15:12 25
2 Lagarto 14 6 7 1 23:12 25
3 Jacuipense 14 5 6 3 19:15 21
4 Santa Cruz 14 5 4 5 14:15 19
5 Sergipe 14 4 6 4 14:12 18
6 Juazeirense 14 4 4 6 8:13 16
7 Clube Sociedade Esportiva 14 3 5 6 19:22 14
8 Alagoinhas 14 2 4 8 13:24 10
Promotion - Serie D 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense 14 10 3 1 22:10 33
2 Anapolis 14 7 4 3 17:11 25
3 Costa Rica 14 6 3 5 14:13 21
4 Operario VG 14 6 3 5 10:12 21
5 Ceilandia 14 6 2 6 15:12 20
6 Ipora 14 3 6 5 12:12 15
7 Gremio Anapolis 14 3 5 6 12:14 14
8 Acao 14 1 2 11 12:30 5
Promotion - Serie D 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pouso Alegre 14 7 5 2 12:9 26
2 Bahia de Feira 14 6 6 2 17:8 24
3 Real Noroeste 14 6 5 3 19:13 23
4 Nova Venecia 14 5 7 2 19:13 22
5 Internacional de Limeira 14 4 5 5 16:16 17
6 Ferroviaria 14 4 4 6 15:14 16
7 URT 14 4 4 6 13:26 16
8 Caldense 14 1 2 11 8:20 5
Promotion - Serie D 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Bernardo 14 7 6 1 13:3 27
2 Parana 14 6 5 3 13:8 23
3 Portuguesa RJ 14 5 6 3 13:10 21
4 Osasco Sporting 14 5 5 4 14:15 20
5 Nova Iguacu 14 5 5 4 13:14 20
6 Santo Andre 14 4 3 7 12:13 15
7 Cianorte 14 3 5 6 14:15 14
8 Perolas Negras 14 1 5 8 9:23 8
Promotion - Serie D 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SER Caxias do Sul 14 8 3 3 20:12 27
2 Aimore 14 8 3 3 17:14 27
3 FC Cascavel 14 7 4 3 16:10 25
4 Azuriz 14 7 3 4 17:12 24
5 Sao Luiz 14 4 6 4 18:17 18
6 Marcilio Dias 14 4 2 8 14:20 14
7 Gremio Juventus 14 2 6 6 11:17 12
8 Prospera Criciuma 14 1 3 10 9:20 6
Promotion - Serie D 2022 (Play Offs)