Sport Picks
Castegnato vs Montecchio Maggiore
Italy
Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Montecchio Maggiore in this Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Montecchio Maggiore.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Castegnato lately — more wins on the board than Montecchio Maggiore.
- Castegnato are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- Regular Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Castegnato | Montecchio Maggiore |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 7 | 6 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 0.91 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Castegnato Compare
Montecchio Maggiore Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Montecchio Maggiore conceded in 91% of 32 recent games.
These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Castegnato scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Difficult form: Montecchio Maggiore registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Castegnato
(Home)Montecchio Maggiore
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clodiense | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 49:17 | 80 |
| 2 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 56:25 | 66 |
| 3 | Treviso | 34 | 19 | 3 | 12 | 51:37 | 60 |
| 4 | Bassano Virtus | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 35:30 | 54 |
| 5 | Campodarsego | 34 | 12 | 15 | 7 | 42:26 | 51 |
| 6 | Este | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 44:33 | 51 |
| 7 | Montecchio Maggiore | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 48:40 | 51 |
| 8 | Adriese | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 54:41 | 50 |
| 9 | Portogruaro | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 52:43 | 48 |
| 10 | Mestre | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 34:37 | 48 |
| 11 | Montebelluna | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 35:41 | 45 |
| 12 | Chions | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 40:50 | 41 |
| 13 | Luparense FC | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:41 | 39 |
| 14 | Breno | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 39:49 | 37 |
| 15 | Cjarlins Muzane | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 30:37 | 35 |
| 16 | Castegnato | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 39:58 | 33 |
| 17 | Virtus Bolzano | 34 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 25:52 | 24 |
| 18 | Mori | 34 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 22:76 | 15 |
