Sport Picks
Castelfidardo vs Teramo Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 
Match Events
60'
60'
Gallo M.
63'
63'
Borgarello M.
(Penalty)
76'
76'
Mariani E.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 game between Castelfidardo and Teramo finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Teramo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
30%
58%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Teramo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Teramo come out ahead of Castelfidardo on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Teramo's way, sitting at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Teramo have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Castelfidardo Clean Sheet 10%
Teramo Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Castelfidardo | Teramo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 6 | 17 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 19 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.84 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 11, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Castelfidardo vs Teramo
1:2
Sep 14, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Teramo vs Castelfidardo
1:0
Jan 19, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Teramo vs Castelfidardo
4:1
Sep 22, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Castelfidardo vs Teramo
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Castelfidardo Compare
Top Goalscorer Gallo M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42
Teramo Compare
Top Goalscorer Mariani E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Castelfidardo 10 / 100
Teramo 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Castelfidardo Teramo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Teramo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Castelfidardo scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Teramo has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.
Solid form: Castelfidardo remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Castelfidardo VS Teramo
0.8 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
80% Over 1.5 88%
60% Over 2.5 50%
60% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Castelfidardo
(Home) 03 May
Castelfidardo
0 : 2 AS Sora
26 Apr
Fossombrone
3 : 1 Castelfidardo
19 Apr
Castelfidardo
1 : 3 Vigor Senigallia
12 Apr
Giulianova
0 : 0 Castelfidardo
02 Apr
Castelfidardo
2 : 2 Maceratese
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Castelfidardo
0 : 2 AS Sora
19 Apr
Castelfidardo
1 : 3 Vigor Senigallia
02 Apr
Castelfidardo
2 : 2 Maceratese
22 Mar
Castelfidardo
1 : 0 Calcio Chieti
15 Mar
Castelfidardo
2 : 1 Recanatese
Page 1 of 3
Teramo
(Away) 27 Sept
Aquila Calcio
2 : 0 Teramo
20 Sept
Teramo
3 : 2 Giulianova
16 Sept
Angelana
1 : 3 Teramo
12 Sept
Teramo
2 : 2 Notaresco Calcio
06 Sept
Maceratese
0 : 3 Teramo
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Aquila Calcio
2 : 0 Teramo
16 Sept
Angelana
1 : 3 Teramo
06 Sept
Maceratese
0 : 3 Teramo
03 May
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 1 Teramo
19 Apr
San Marino Calcio
1 : 3 Teramo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ostiamare | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 65:25 | 79 |
| 2 | Ancona | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 59:22 | 76 |
| 3 | Teramo | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 65:29 | 74 |
| 4 | Atletico Ascoli | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 55:35 | 55 |
| 5 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 43:31 | 51 |
| 6 | Aquila Calcio | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53:44 | 51 |
| 7 | Giulianova | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 40:31 | 49 |
| 8 | Vigor Senigallia | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45:40 | 49 |
| 9 | Fossombrone | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 28:34 | 44 |
| 10 | Unipomezia | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43:42 | 42 |
| 11 | Termoli | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 27:30 | 39 |
| 12 | Maceratese | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 43:49 | 38 |
| 13 | AS Sora | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:50 | 38 |
| 14 | Recanatese | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39:57 | 32 |
| 15 | San Marino Calcio | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 33:61 | 31 |
| 16 | Calcio Chieti | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 31:55 | 24 |
| 17 | Castelfidardo | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 30:65 | 23 |
| 18 | Sammaurese | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30:69 | 20 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Out)
