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Castellana vs Ciserano Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group B 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 game between Castellana and Ciserano finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ciserano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Castellana
15%
Draws
36%
Ciserano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Castellana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Ciserano haven't matched Castellana's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Castellana's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Castellana Clean Sheet 20%
Ciserano Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castellana Ciserano
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 6
Draws 7 7
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 0.97 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Castellana vs Ciserano
0:1
Sep 13, 2014 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano vs Castellana
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castellana 76 / 100
Ciserano 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castellana Ciserano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castellana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ciserano conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Castellana's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Ciserano's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ciserano
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Castellana

(Home)
10 May
Castellana
1 : 2
Villafranca
03 May
Olginatese
5 : 0
Castellana
26 Apr
Castellana
1 : 1
Ciliverghe Mazzano
19 Apr
Pro Sesto
2 : 3
Castellana
12 Apr
Castellana
0 : 2
FC Castiglione
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Ciserano

(Away)
05 May
Ambrosiana
5 : 2
Ciserano
28 Apr
Ciserano
2 : 1
Seregno Calcio
18 Apr
Scanzorosciate
3 : 0
Ciserano
13 Apr
Ciserano
0 : 3
Rezzato
07 Apr
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 0
Ciserano
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Castiglione 36 22 8 6 54:26 74
2 Lecco 36 19 9 8 65:42 66
3 Seregno Calcio 36 20 5 11 64:37 65
4 Ciserano 36 17 9 10 53:39 60
5 Virtus Verona 36 15 14 7 58:34 59
6 Pergolettese 36 15 10 11 46:44 55
7 Olginatese 36 15 9 12 44:34 54
8 Ponte San Pietro 36 14 10 12 50:42 52
9 Ciliverghe Mazzano 36 14 9 13 37:40 51
10 Sondrio 36 15 6 15 46:50 51
11 Aurora Seriate 36 14 8 14 42:43 50
12 Inveruno 36 13 10 13 47:48 49
13 Villafranca 36 12 11 13 44:49 47
14 MapelloBonate 36 12 11 13 36:48 47
15 Pro Sesto 36 13 8 15 38:41 47
16 Caravaggio 36 11 8 17 37:42 41
17 Folgore Caratese 36 7 16 13 34:40 37
18 Castellana 36 7 9 20 36:61 30
19 Montichiari 36 1 2 33 26:97 5
Promotion - Serie D - Winners stage 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 (Play Out)