Sport Picks
Castellanzese vs Folgore Caratese
Italy
Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Castellanzese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Folgore Caratese have won more games recently than Castellanzese.
- Castellanzese are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 72.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Castellanzese Clean Sheet 68%
Folgore Caratese Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Castellanzese | Folgore Caratese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 12 |
| Losses | 13 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.33 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 18, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Castellanzese vs Folgore Caratese
0:0
Sep 21, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Folgore Caratese vs Castellanzese
2:1
Apr 27, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Castellanzese vs Folgore Caratese
3:2
Dec 15, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Folgore Caratese vs Castellanzese
5:1
Jan 28, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Castellanzese vs Folgore Caratese
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Castellanzese 68 / 100
Folgore Caratese 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Castellanzese Folgore Caratese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Castellanzese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Castellanzese's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Folgore Caratese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.
Castellanzese went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Castellanzese VS Folgore Caratese
1.29 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
57% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Castellanzese
(Home) 20 Sept
Solbiatese
1 : 4 Castellanzese
16 Sept
Castellanzese
0 : 1 Oltrepo
12 Sept
Lentigione
1 : 0 Castellanzese
06 Sept
Castellanzese
3 : 1 US Pontedera
10 May
Castellanzese
1 : 2 Varesina
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Castellanzese
0 : 1 Oltrepo
06 Sept
Castellanzese
3 : 1 US Pontedera
10 May
Castellanzese
1 : 2 Varesina
26 Apr
Castellanzese
1 : 3 AC Milan U23
12 Apr
Castellanzese
1 : 0 AC Leon
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Folgore Caratese
(Away) 20 Sept
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1 Giana Erminio
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0 Folgore Caratese
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3 Alcione Milano
07 Sept
Pro Vercelli
1 : 0 Folgore Caratese
31 Aug
Novara
2 : 2 Folgore Caratese
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0 Folgore Caratese
07 Sept
Pro Vercelli
1 : 0 Folgore Caratese
31 Aug
Novara
2 : 2 Folgore Caratese
16 Aug
Giana Erminio
2 : 1 Folgore Caratese
31 Jul
Sassuolo
0 : 0 Folgore Caratese
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Folgore Caratese | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:27 | 68 |
| 2 | USD Casatese | 34 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 49:28 | 61 |
| 3 | Chievo | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 52:43 | 60 |
| 4 | AC Milan U23 | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 62:37 | 56 |
| 5 | AC Leon | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 6 | Brusaporto | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 41:38 | 51 |
| 7 | Oltrepo | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 38:36 | 50 |
| 8 | Scanzorosciate | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 41:33 | 47 |
| 9 | Villa Valle | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:46 | 47 |
| 10 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 33:31 | 46 |
| 11 | Caldiero Terme | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 50:40 | 45 |
| 12 | Real Calepina | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 42:47 | 42 |
| 13 | Castellanzese | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 41:39 | 41 |
| 14 | Breno | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39:51 | 38 |
| 15 | Pavia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:47 | 37 |
| 16 | Varesina | 34 | 7 | 15 | 12 | 38:44 | 36 |
| 17 | Sondrio | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 37:64 | 31 |
| 18 | Vogherese | 34 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 21:80 | -17 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)
