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Castellanzese vs Pro Patria

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Ferri D.
77' Event
Citterio G.

AI Match Summary

Pro Patria in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pro Patria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Castellanzese
15%
Draws
61%
Pro Patria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pro Patria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Pro Patria at 1.28 per game, Castellanzese at 1.07.
  • Pro Patria are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Castellanzese Clean Sheet 10%
Pro Patria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castellanzese Pro Patria
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 8 5
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.07 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2025 Club Friendly
Castellanzese vs Pro Patria
0:2
Aug 9, 2023 Club Friendly
Castellanzese vs Pro Patria
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Castellanzese Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Pro Patria Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferri D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Citterio G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castellanzese 18 / 100
Pro Patria 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castellanzese Pro Patria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pro Patria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pro Patria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Castellanzese scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Castellanzese has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Castellanzese VS Pro Patria
1.13 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Castellanzese

(Home)
20 Sept
Solbiatese
1 : 4
Castellanzese
16 Sept
Castellanzese
0 : 1
Oltrepo
12 Sept
Lentigione
1 : 0
Castellanzese
06 Sept
Castellanzese
3 : 1
US Pontedera
10 May
Castellanzese
1 : 2
Varesina
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Pro Patria

(Away)
20 Sept
Arconatese
0 : 3
Pro Patria
16 Sept
Pro Patria
2 : 0
Crema
12 Sept
US Pontedera
2 : 3
Pro Patria
06 Sept
Pro Patria
2 : 1
Oltrepo
12 Aug
Pro Patria
3 : 1
Gozzano
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