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Castellazzo vs Pavia

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2017/2018
Castellazzo Logo

Castellazzo

2 - 2
FT
Pavia Logo

Pavia

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Castellazzo
35%
Draws
37%
Pavia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pavia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pavia lately — more wins on the board than Castellazzo.
  • Win probability leans Pavia's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Castellazzo Clean Sheet 20%
Pavia Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castellazzo Pavia
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 3 10
Draws 8 12
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 0.9 0.94
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2018 Serie D - Group A
Castellazzo vs Pavia
2:2
Nov 5, 2017 Serie D - Group A
Pavia vs Castellazzo
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castellazzo 20 / 100
Pavia 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castellazzo Pavia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pavia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Castellazzo found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Castellazzo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Pavia conceded in 59% of 34 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Castellazzo VS Pavia
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Castellazzo

(Home)
08 Aug
Club Milano
0 : 0
Castellazzo
06 May
AC Chieri
5 : 2
Castellazzo
29 Apr
Castellazzo
0 : 0
Borgaro
22 Apr
Varese
2 : 0
Castellazzo
15 Apr
Borgosesia Calcio
2 : 2
Castellazzo
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Pavia

(Away)
27 Sept
Pavia
1 : 1
Arconatese
20 Sept
Sant'Angelo
0 : 0
Pavia
16 Sept
Pavia
0 : 0
Solbiatese
06 Sept
Pavia
0 : 0
Crema
25 Jul
Pavia
0 : 4
AlbinoLeffe
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gozzano 38 25 7 6 68:25 82
2 Como 38 25 6 7 58:27 81
3 Caronnese 38 21 11 6 62:30 74
4 AC Chieri 38 19 14 5 64:37 71
5 Pro Sesto 38 20 7 11 69:43 67
6 Folgore Caratese 38 14 14 10 45:39 56
7 Inveruno 38 14 10 14 44:48 52
8 Borgosesia Calcio 38 14 9 15 40:39 51
9 Arconatese 38 14 8 16 37:46 50
10 Bra 38 13 10 15 45:51 49
11 Pavia 38 12 11 15 53:58 47
12 Borgaro 38 11 13 14 35:44 46
13 Olginatese 38 9 18 11 37:44 45
14 Seregno Calcio 38 10 14 14 45:54 44
15 OltrepoVoghera 38 9 16 13 34:47 43
16 Casale 38 10 12 16 41:48 42
17 Varesina 38 10 11 17 33:45 41
18 Varese 38 8 16 14 47:49 40
19 Calcio Derthona 38 5 11 22 25:62 26
20 Castellazzo 38 3 10 25 32:78 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Play Offs)