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Castellazzo vs Seregno Calcio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Serie D - Group A 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 game between Castellazzo and Seregno Calcio finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Seregno Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Castellazzo
35%
Draws
41%
Seregno Calcio
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Seregno Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Castellazzo haven't matched Seregno Calcio's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Castellazzo Clean Sheet 20%
Seregno Calcio Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castellazzo Seregno Calcio
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 3 11
Draws 8 9
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 0.9 1.22
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2018 Serie D - Group A
Castellazzo vs Seregno Calcio
1:3
Nov 19, 2017 Serie D - Group A
Seregno Calcio vs Castellazzo
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castellazzo 32 / 100
Seregno Calcio 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castellazzo Seregno Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Castellazzo found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Seregno Calcio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.

Solid form: Castellazzo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Castellazzo VS Seregno Calcio
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Castellazzo

(Home)
08 Aug
Club Milano
0 : 0
Castellazzo
06 May
AC Chieri
5 : 2
Castellazzo
29 Apr
Castellazzo
0 : 0
Borgaro
22 Apr
Varese
2 : 0
Castellazzo
15 Apr
Borgosesia Calcio
2 : 2
Castellazzo
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Seregno Calcio

(Away)
14 May
Seregno Calcio
0 : 0
Breno
07 May
Desenzano Calvina
5 : 2
Seregno Calcio
30 Apr
Seregno Calcio
0 : 1
Breno
23 Apr
Real Calepina
2 : 2
Seregno Calcio
16 Apr
Seregno Calcio
3 : 1
Sona
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gozzano 38 25 7 6 68:25 82
2 Como 38 25 6 7 58:27 81
3 Caronnese 38 21 11 6 62:30 74
4 AC Chieri 38 19 14 5 64:37 71
5 Pro Sesto 38 20 7 11 69:43 67
6 Folgore Caratese 38 14 14 10 45:39 56
7 Inveruno 38 14 10 14 44:48 52
8 Borgosesia Calcio 38 14 9 15 40:39 51
9 Arconatese 38 14 8 16 37:46 50
10 Bra 38 13 10 15 45:51 49
11 Pavia 38 12 11 15 53:58 47
12 Borgaro 38 11 13 14 35:44 46
13 Olginatese 38 9 18 11 37:44 45
14 Seregno Calcio 38 10 14 14 45:54 44
15 OltrepoVoghera 38 9 16 13 34:47 43
16 Casale 38 10 12 16 41:48 42
17 Varesina 38 10 11 17 33:45 41
18 Varese 38 8 16 14 47:49 40
19 Calcio Derthona 38 5 11 22 25:62 26
20 Castellazzo 38 3 10 25 32:78 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Play Offs)