Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Castellon B vs Atletico Saguntino

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Castellon B play Atletico Saguntino in the Club Friendly 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Castellon B averaged 1.57 goals scored and 2.04 conceded. Atletico Saguntino averaged 1.41 goals scored and 0.91 conceded. In past meetings, Castellon B won 1, Atletico Saguntino won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Aug 20, 2025 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Castellon B and 1.94 for Atletico Saguntino. This points to a Atletico Saguntino double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Castellon B
27%
Draws
46%
Atletico Saguntino
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Atletico Saguntino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Castellon B picked up more points recently compared to Atletico Saguntino.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Castellon B Clean Sheet 10%
Atletico Saguntino Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castellon B Atletico Saguntino
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 8 18
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.57 1.41
Goals Conceded 2.04 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2025 Club Friendly
Castellon B vs Atletico Saguntino
3:2
Jan 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Atletico Saguntino vs Castellon B
3:1
Sep 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Castellon B vs Atletico Saguntino
1:1
Feb 26, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Castellon B vs Atletico Saguntino
0:1
Oct 23, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Atletico Saguntino vs Castellon B
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Castellon B Compare

Top Goalscorer Domingo J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ferrer Alarte M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Atletico Saguntino Compare

Top Goalscorer Torrent E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castellon B 26 / 100
Atletico Saguntino 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castellon B Atletico Saguntino

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Atletico Saguntino or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +42%
5.26
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Castellon B attacking → ← attacking Atletico Saguntino

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castellon B scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Atletico Saguntino let in goals in 59% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Castellon B went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Atletico Saguntino lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 60
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63